Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 26′Houston Dynamo, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 59′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 59′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 59′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 65′Seattle Sounders, yellow card:
- 72′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 83′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 85′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 86′Houston Dynamo, substitution:off
- 87′Houston Dynamo, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 1
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Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
Match report
Houston Dynamo win at Seattle Sounders despite being outshot 20 to 2
Houston Dynamo won 1-0 away to Seattle Sounders at Lumen Field on Matchday 32 of Major League Soccer, taking victory from a game in which they had little of the ball. Lucas Halter scored the only goal in the 26th minute, converting a chance created by Mateusz Bogusz.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Seattle dominated the rest of the contest. They finished with 20 shots to 2, 10 corners to 1 and 71% of possession, and five of those efforts were on target against one from Houston. Despite that pressure, the home side could not find an equaliser, and the score at the final whistle was the same as at half-time.
The result lifted Houston from tenth to eighth, on 51 points, and ended a run of seven games without a win for Ben Olsen's side. Seattle, who had gone into the game in 14th, dropped to 15th on 43 points after Brian Schmetzer's team failed to turn their territorial advantage into a goal.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Houston Dynamo a 22% chance of winning. Houston travel to Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer next, while Seattle are away to Vancouver Whitecaps on Sunday.
Cristian Roldan earned the highest rating of any player in the match, 7.77, for his work in a Seattle midfield that dominated possession. Houston goalkeeper Jonathan Bond was rated 7.71 as he protected the one-goal lead.
Seattle produced 20 shots to Houston's 2 but still lost, with the visitors scoring from one of their two attempts.
Houston Dynamo won 1–0 away against Seattle Sounders (half-time 0–1).
Seattle Sounders met Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 02:30 UTC at Lumen Field. Referee: Lorenzo Hernandez. Attendance: 29,036.
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · Houston Dynamo · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Lucas Halter (assist: Mateusz Bogusz) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
Houston Dynamo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Seattle Sounders 50%, the draw 28%, Houston Dynamo 22%. It finished Seattle Sounders 0–1 Houston Dynamo.
Home advantage gives Seattle a slight edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Seattle Sounders lead at 50% thanks to home advantage, which runs strong for all home sides in Major League Soccer. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 27% rate between sides this level and nudged up slightly because both teams' recent games average a typical 2.5 goals.
Why Seattle Sounders in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1499 to 1475. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,542 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,268 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 50%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Houston Dynamo at 22%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Houston Dynamo win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,336. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Doubtful: Guilherme, a star player, and Héctor Herrera and Felipe Andrade, important players. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Houston Dynamo are winless in their last 12 visits to Seattle Sounders: 3 draws and 9 defeats, across 12 Major League Soccer games. No earlier win in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 23 March 2025 — Seattle Sounders 0–0 Houston Dynamo. Across 6,319 historical matches involving visitors with at least five consecutive winless visits, those visitors won 20.2%, compared with 21.4% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Seattle Sounders 0–1 Houston Dynamo. Explore more on the Seattle Sounders and Houston Dynamo team pages or the Major League Soccer page.