Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsMajor League SoccerYouTubeMatch Events
- 2′San Diego, yellow card:
- 24′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:1–0assist
- 41′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 55′San Diego, yellow card:
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 62′San Diego, substitution:off
- 66′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:3–0assist
- 67′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 67′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 74′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 74′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 74′San Diego, substitution:off
- 74′San Diego, substitution:off
- 76′Vancouver Whitecaps, goal:4–0assist
- 82′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:
- 83′San Diego, goal:4–1assist
- 83′Vancouver Whitecaps, substitution:off
- 90+1′Vancouver Whitecaps, yellow card:
- 90+4′Vancouver Whitecaps, second yellow card:
- Full-time4 – 1
Lineups
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Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
Match report
Vancouver Whitecaps beat San Diego 4-1 at BC Place
Vancouver Whitecaps beat San Diego 4-1 at BC Place in Major League Soccer on Matchday 32, building a 2-0 half-time lead and adding two more after the break. The result lifted Jesper Sørensen's side from fourth to third in the table on 58 points, while San Diego stayed 25th on 35.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Aleksa Cvetković opened the scoring in the 24th minute from Mathías Laborda's assist, and Brian White doubled the lead in the 41st, set up by Oliver Larraz. Ryan Gauld made it 3-0 in the 66th minute after a pass from Rayan Elloumi, and Bruno Caicedo struck in the 76th with Ralph Priso providing the final ball.
Onni Valakari pulled one back for San Diego in the 83rd minute, assisted by David Vazquez, but there was no way back for Mikey Varas's side. Vancouver finished with ten men when Elloumi was sent off in the 90+4th minute. San Diego have now gone 10 games without a win.
The visitors had more of the ball, with 56% possession, and had 20 shots to 16, yet Vancouver put 10 of theirs on target to 7. San Diego travel to St. Louis City in Major League Soccer on Saturday, while Vancouver host Seattle Sounders on Sunday.
Mathías Laborda was the top-rated performer with an 8.67 rating, providing the assist for Cvetković's opener. Ryan Gauld scored the third goal and earned an 8.51 rating.
Vancouver had 10 shots on target to San Diego's 7 despite having fewer attempts overall.
Vancouver Whitecaps beat San Diego 4–1 (half-time 2–0).
Vancouver Whitecaps met San Diego in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 32). Kick-off was Thursday, 29 October 2026, 02:30 UTC at BC Place. Referee: Joe Dickerson. Attendance: 21,681.
Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps · San Diego · Major League Soccer
Key moments
- 24' Goal: Aleksa Cvetković (assist: Mathías Laborda) — 1–0
- 41' Goal: Brian White (assist: Oliver Larraz) — 2–0
- 66' Goal: Ryan Gauld (assist: Rayan Elloumi) — 3–0
- 76' Goal: Bruno Caicedo (assist: Ralph Priso) — 4–0
- 83' Goal: Onni Valakari (assist: David Vazquez) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Vancouver Whitecaps (4-4-2)
San Diego (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Vancouver Whitecaps 63%, the draw 23%, San Diego 14%. It finished Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego.
Vancouver's stronger rating drives a clear lead — We give Vancouver Whitecaps 63% mainly because they sit 110 points higher on our strength rating, 1573 to 1464, and home sides in Major League Soccer do better than the global norm. The draw starts at the usual 25% for a gap this size, then drops to 23% because both teams' own recent games average 3.7 goals.
Why Vancouver Whitecaps at 63%?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 110 points higher on our strength rating — 1573 to 1464. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,351 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.7% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,268 games vs 44.6% across all 108,079 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 54–24–22.
Why only 63%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 63% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and San Diego at 14%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,464. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Diego have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.0% of 10,385 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Out: Andrés Cubas, an important player, and Emmanuel Sabbi, a rotation player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Vancouver Whitecaps vs San Diego final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Major League Soccer fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Vancouver Whitecaps 4–1 San Diego. Explore more on the Vancouver Whitecaps and San Diego team pages or the Major League Soccer page.

