Celta Vigo vs 13.09.26 12:001 – 1Full Time
Malaga — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA EA SPORTSYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow2 clips- 24′Malaga, yellow card:Foul
- 26′Celta Vigo, yellow card:Foul
- 41′Celta Vigo, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Malaga, substitution:off
- 61′Malaga, substitution:off
- 62′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 67′Malaga, substitution:off
- 67′Malaga, substitution:off
- 74′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 74′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 83′Malaga, goal:1–1assist
- 84′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 84′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 87′Malaga, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Celta Vigo
Malaga
Match report
Celta Vigo held to draw by Malaga as Niño Heredia cancels out Jutglà
Celta Vigo and Malaga shared the points in a 1-1 draw in La Liga's matchday 5, with Claudio Giraldez's side unable to hold on to a half-time lead. The result leaves Celta 14th on four points from six games, while Funes's Malaga sit 17th with three points from five.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ferran Jutglà put the home side ahead in the 41st minute, finishing from an assist by Hugo González to send Celta in front at the break. Malaga responded in the second half, with Adrián Niño Heredia levelling in the 83rd minute after being set up by Pablo Martínez, denying Celta what would have been a first win in five outings.
Celta had the greater share of the ball at 46 percent to Malaga's 54, yet produced more of the attacking threat, registering 17 shots to Malaga's 12 and forcing five on target compared with the visitors' two. Malaga's late leveller came against the run of shot count, though corners told a similar story, with the home side managing just one to Malaga's five.
Niño Heredia struck the equaliser for Malaga in the 83rd minute and finished with a rating of 8.2, matching Jutglà's mark for the joint-highest of the match. Martínez also impressed, providing the assist for Malaga's leveller.
Despite having less of the ball, Celta Vigo out-shot Malaga 17 to 12 and had far more efforts on target, five to two.
Celta Vigo and Malaga drew 1–1 (half-time 1–0).
Celta Vigo met Malaga in the La Liga (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 12:00 UTC at Municipal de Balaídos. Referee: Carlos Muniz Munoz.
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Malaga · La Liga
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Ferran Jutglà (assist: Hugo González) — 1–0 · Watch Ferran Jutglà's goal video (41')
- 83' Goal: Adrián Niño (assist: Pablo Martínez) — 1–1 · Watch Adrián Niño's goal video (83')
Starting line-ups
Celta Vigo (3-4-3)
Malaga (4-1-4-1)
- 1 Alfonso Herrero (c)
- 12 José Salinas
- 4 Einar Galilea
- 15 Ángel Recio
- 31 Rafita
- 23 Izan Merino
- 11 Joaquín Muñoz
- 22 Dani Lorenzo
- 18 Pablo Martínez
- 10 David Larrubia
- 9 Chupe
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celta Vigo 51%, the draw 30%, Malaga 19%. It finished Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga.
Celta Vigo's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Celta Vigo are the stronger side on our strength rating, and La Liga home advantage on top gives Celta Vigo the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Celta Vigo at 51%?
Celta Vigo sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1821 to 1685. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,804 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.2%). La Liga homes won 46.7% of 6,126 games vs 44.9% across all 100,162 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–24–17.
Why only 51%?
Malaga sit -0.38 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,442 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Celta Vigo's column. Across 11,115 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Malaga win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 1.9 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 18,210. The goals environment adds 3.1 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Malaga are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Malaga are missing 2 regular starters — Dani Lorenzo, Diego Murillo — about 16% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celta Vigo vs Malaga final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Celta Vigo 1–1 Malaga. Explore more on the Celta Vigo and Malaga team pages or the La Liga page.