Alaves vs 10.10.26 14:151 – 2Full Time
Atletico Madrid — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Atletico Madrid beat ten-man Alaves 2-1 with late Romero goal
Atletico Madrid won 2-1 at Alaves in La Liga on Matchday 8, Cristian Romero scoring the decisive goal three minutes from the end at Estadio de Mendizorroza. The result left Atletico second in the table on 19 points from eight games, while Alaves stayed sixth on 11.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Atletico took the lead in the 33rd minute when Álex Grimaldo scored from Jonathan David's assist. Alaves levelled deep into first-half stoppage time, Lucas Boyé converting a penalty in the 45+6 minute to make it 1-1 at the break.
The match turned on the hour mark, when Angel Pérez was sent off for Alaves in the 61st minute. Atletico pressed their numerical advantage without finding a way through until the 87th minute, when Álex Baena's assist found Romero, who scored the winner for the visitors.
Alaves defended for long spells, seeing 32 per cent of the ball and managing eight shots to Atletico's 21. The hosts were still in touching distance of a point until Romero's late intervention settled it.
Álex Grimaldo scored the opening goal and earned a rating of 8.51, the highest of any player on the pitch. Koke, rated 8.19, and Marcos Llorente, on 7.84, completed the top three, all for Atletico.
Atletico won ten corners to none, a measure of how much of the match was played in the Alaves half.
Atletico Madrid won 2–1 away against Alaves (half-time 1–1).
Alaves met Atletico Madrid in the La Liga (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Referee: Alejandro Quintero Gonzalez. Attendance: 17,741.
Team pages: Alaves · Atletico Madrid · La Liga
Key moments
- 33' Goal: Álex Grimaldo (assist: Jonathan David) — 0–1 · Watch Álex Grimaldo's goal video (33')
- 45+6' Goal (penalty): Lucas Boyé — 1–1
- 61' Red card: Angel Pérez
- 87' Goal: Cristian Romero (assist: Álex Baena) — 1–2 · Watch Cristian Romero's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Alaves (3-5-2)
Atletico Madrid (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Alaves 26%, the draw 24%, Atletico Madrid 50%. It finished Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid's rating gap outweighs Alaves' home ground — Atletico Madrid are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Atletico Madrid's 50%. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Atletico Madrid at 50%?
Atletico Madrid sit 171 points higher on our strength rating — 1670 to 1841. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,670 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 27–25–48.
Why only 50%?
La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,150 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,118.
What did we measure but not count?
Atletico Madrid have averaged 16 percentage points more possession than Alaves in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Alaves are 1 game into a new manager (Quique Sánchez Flores), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Alaves vs Atletico Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Alaves 1–2 Atletico Madrid. Explore more on the Alaves and Atletico Madrid team pages or the La Liga page.