Celta Vigo vs 18.10.26 14:152 – 1Full Time
Alaves — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
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play_arrow3 clips- 15′Celta Vigo, yellow card:
- 45′Alaves, yellow card:
- Half-time
- 46′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 46′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 53′Celta Vigo, goal:1–0assist
- 62′Alaves, substitution:off
- 62′Alaves, substitution:off
- 62′Alaves, substitution:off
- 70′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 70′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 71′Celta Vigo, goal:2–0assist
- 77′Celta Vigo, substitution:off
- 87′Alaves, goal:2–1assist
- 88′Alaves, substitution:off
- 88′Alaves, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
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Celta Vigo
Alaves
Match report
Celta Vigo hold off late Alaves rally to win 2-1 at Balaídos
Celta Vigo beat Alaves 2-1 at Municipal de Balaídos on matchday nine of La Liga, riding out a late scare after leading by two goals. The sides were level at 0-0 at the break, and the game turned in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ferran Jutglà broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute, finishing after a pass from Javi Rodríguez. Eighteen minutes later Rodríguez turned scorer himself, converting a delivery from Iago Aspas in the 71st minute to make it 2-0.
Alaves, who had dominated the shot count, gave themselves hope in the 87th minute when Hugo Novoa scored from a Mariano Díaz assist, cutting the deficit to 2-1. Celta held on through the closing stages without conceding again.
The result lifted Celta to eighth place on 11 points, level with seventh-placed Alaves, having started the day 12th on eight points. Celta travel to Celtic in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, while Alaves host Malaga in La Liga on Friday.
Javi Rodríguez scored once and set up another goal, earning the top rating of 8.35 among all players. Ionuț Radu was close behind on 8.3.
Alaves had 20 shots to Celta's six, yet still lost the match.
Celta Vigo beat Alaves 2–1 (half-time 0–0).
Celta Vigo met Alaves in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 14:15 UTC at Municipal de Balaídos. Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero. Attendance: 19,588.
Team pages: Celta Vigo · Alaves · La Liga
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Ferran Jutglà (assist: Javi Rodríguez) — 1–0 · Watch Ferran Jutglà's goal video (53')
- 71' Goal: Javi Rodríguez (assist: Iago Aspas) — 2–0 · Watch Javi Rodríguez's goal video (71')
- 87' Goal: Hugo Novoa (assist: Mariano Díaz) — 2–1 · Watch Hugo Novoa's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Celta Vigo (3-4-3)
Alaves (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Celta Vigo 47%, the draw 29%, Alaves 24%. It finished Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves.
Celta Vigo's control of the ball gives them the edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Celta Vigo's habit of holding more of the ball, 50 to 41 in recent games, is the main reason we give them 47%, helped by La Liga's strong home advantage. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% because both teams' recent games have been low-scoring.
Why Celta Vigo in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1658 to 1662. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,848 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%). Celta Vigo hold 9 more possession points (50 to 41 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.2% of 5,155 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,163 games vs 44.6% across all 101,389 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 47%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 29% and Alaves at 24%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Alaves win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.1 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,751. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Angel Pérez, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Celta Vigo on 2 days' rest, Alaves on 8. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 42,172 measured games no rest advantage repeated. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Celta Vigo vs Alaves final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ferran Jutglà's goal against Alaves (53').
- Watch Javi Rodríguez's goal against Alaves (71').
- Watch Hugo Novoa's goal against Celta Vigo (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Celta Vigo 2–1 Alaves. Explore more on the Celta Vigo and Alaves team pages or the La Liga page.