Real Madrid vs 18.10.26 19:004 – 1Full Time
Sevilla — La Liga: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 23′Real Madrid, yellow card:
- 23′Sevilla, yellow card:
- 30′Real Madrid, goal:1–0assist
- 37′Real Madrid, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′Sevilla, substitution:off
- 56′Sevilla, substitution:off
- 56′Sevilla, substitution:off
- 63′Real Madrid, penalty goal:3–0Penalty
- 69′Sevilla, yellow card:
- 69′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 69′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 72′Sevilla, substitution:off
- 73′Sevilla, substitution:off
- 73′Real Madrid, yellow card:
- 78′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 80′Sevilla, goal:3–1assist
- 82′Real Madrid, goal:4–1assist
- 84′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- 85′Real Madrid, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 1
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Real Madrid
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Match report
Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 at the Bernabéu as Mbappé scores twice
Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4-1 at the Santiago Bernabéu Stadium in La Liga on matchday 9, a result that lifted them from fourth to third in the table. The home side led 2-0 at the interval and finished with 21 points from nine games, seven clear of sixth-placed Sevilla, who stayed on 14.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Arda Güler opened the scoring in the 30th minute, converting a pass from Yan Diomande. Seven minutes later Kylian Mbappé doubled the lead from Jude Bellingham's assist, and the same player added a penalty in the 63rd minute to make it 3-0. Real had 65% of possession and eight of their 15 shots on target.
Sevilla pulled one back in the 80th minute when Manu Bueno scored after Lucas Stassin's pass, but the response came within two minutes. Diomande finished from Aurélien Tchouaméni's assist in the 82nd to restore the three-goal margin. Real next host RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League on Wednesday, while Sevilla are at home to Osasuna in La Liga on Monday 26 October.
Mbappé scored twice, including a 63rd-minute penalty, and set up nothing himself but was still the match's highest-rated player at 8.51. Diomande provided an assist and a goal for a rating of 8.29.
Real Madrid had 65% of the possession, the platform for a game in which they led from the 30th minute onwards.
Real Madrid beat Sevilla 4–1 (half-time 2–0).
Real Madrid met Sevilla in the La Liga (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Santiago Bernabéu Stadium. Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer. Attendance: 73,907.
Team pages: Real Madrid · Sevilla · La Liga
Key moments
- 30' Goal: Arda Güler (assist: Yan Diomande) — 1–0
- 37' Goal: Kylian Mbappé (assist: Jude Bellingham) — 2–0
- 63' Goal (penalty): Kylian Mbappé — 3–0
- 80' Goal: Manu Bueno (assist: Lucas Stassin) — 3–1
- 82' Goal: Yan Diomande (assist: Aurélien Tchouaméni) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Sevilla (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Madrid 82%, the draw 12%, Sevilla 6%. It finished Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla.
Real Madrid's strength gap makes this one-sided — We give Real Madrid 82% mainly because our strength rating puts them 297 points clear of Sevilla, 1948 to 1650, and home sides in La Liga generally do better than the global norm. The draw starts at 14%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 12% because both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Real Madrid at 82%?
Real Madrid sit 297 points higher on our strength rating — 1948 to 1650. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,572 such games. La Liga home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (28.3% vs 30.0%). La Liga homes won 46.6% of 6,163 games vs 44.6% across all 101,389 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 78–14–8.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 82% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 12% and Sevilla at 6%.
Why is the draw only 12%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 14.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Real Madrid have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than Sevilla in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Real Madrid are unbeaten in their last 10 home La Liga games: 9 wins and 1 draw. The run began on 14 March 2026. Last recorded home league defeat: 2 March 2026 — Real Madrid 0–1 Getafe. Latest home league result: 10 October 2026 — Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal. Across 13,735 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Madrid vs Sevilla final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this La Liga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla. Explore more on the Real Madrid and Sevilla team pages or the La Liga page.