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Match report
Napoli edged out Bologna 1-0 in Serie A's fourth round at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona, a single second-half goal proving enough to separate the sides in a match Massimiliano Allegri's team dominated for long spells.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The contest remained goalless through a cagey first half before Stanislav Lobotka broke the deadlock in the 66th minute, finishing after being set up by Costantino Favasuli to make it 1-0. Bologna, already struggling in the table under Domenico Tedesco, had no answer and could not force an equaliser despite the match remaining open until the final whistle.
Napoli's control was evident throughout, with the hosts dominating possession and territory while Bologna managed only sporadic forward moments. The visitors picked up a booking as they toiled to contain the home side's pressure, but ultimately fell to a fifth defeat in six matches across all competitions.
Lobotka scored the only goal of the game and was rated 8.6, the highest mark on either side, capping a commanding display in midfield.
Napoli's 1.81 expected goals figure dwarfed Bologna's 0.25, underlining how comprehensively the hosts controlled the chances created.
Napoli beat Bologna 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Napoli met Bologna in the Serie A (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Sunday, 13 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona. Referee: Kevin Bonacina. Attendance: 41,000.
Before kick-off Sirius gave Napoli 52%, the draw 29%, Bologna 19%. It finished Napoli 1–0 Bologna.
Napoli's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Napoli are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Napoli's 52%. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Napoli sit 156 points higher on our strength rating — 1935 to 1779. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,804 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 61–22–17.
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Napoli's column. Across 11,115 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.6% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.2% of 6,115 games vs 44.9% across all 100,162 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,820. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
Napoli have shed 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,748 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Bologna have shed 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Napoli vs Bologna final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Napoli 1–0 Bologna. Explore more on the Napoli and Bologna team pages or the Serie A page.
Napoli beat Bologna 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Stanislav Lobotka (66') for Napoli.
Goal highlights and video clips from Napoli 1–0 Bologna are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Napoli and Bologna have met 10 times — 4 wins for Napoli, 3 wins for Bologna and 3 draws.