HighlightsSerie AYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 9′Parma, yellow card:
- 14′Genoa, yellow card:
- 38′Parma, goal:1–0assist
- 44′Genoa, yellow card:
- Half-time1 – 0
- 57′Parma, substitution:off
- 57′Parma, substitution:off
- 60′Genoa, substitution:off
- 60′Genoa, substitution:off
- 67′Parma, substitution:off
- 69′Genoa, substitution:off
- 70′Genoa, goal:1–1assist
- 80′Parma, goal:2–1assist
- 81′Parma, substitution:off
- 81′Parma, substitution:off
- 84′Genoa, substitution:off
- 85′Genoa, substitution:off
- 85′Parma, yellow card:
- 90+2′Genoa, yellow card:
- 90+3′Parma, yellow card:
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Assists
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Player Ratings
Parma
Genoa
Match report
Parma come from behind to beat Genoa and end winless start
Parma won their first league game of the season, beating Genoa 2-1 at the Stadio Ennio Tardini in Serie A on Matchday 5. The result ended a run of four league games without a win for Carlos Cuesta's side and a run of five games without a win in all, and it lifted them to 15th in the table.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
David Romero put the hosts ahead in the 38th minute, finishing from El Touré's assist, and Parma led 1-0 at the interval. Genoa levelled in the 70th minute when Milutin Osmajić scored from Lorenzo Colombo's pass, and the visitors held the greater share of the ball as they pressed for a second.
It was Parma who struck next. Pontus Almqvist scored in the 80th minute from Nesta Elphege's assist and the hosts held on for the win. Genoa, managed by Daniele De Rossi, stayed 19th with one point from five games.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Parma a 27% chance of winning. Parma's next fixture was not given.
Nesta Elphege was rated at 7.2 after setting up Almqvist's winner. Genoa's Junior Messias had the highest rating of the match at 7.84.
Genoa had 12 shots to Parma's five, but only five of them were on target, and they lost.
Parma beat Genoa 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Parma met Genoa in the Serie A (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 13:00 UTC at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Referee: Maurizio Mariani. Attendance: 17,159.
Key moments
- 38' Goal: David Romero (assist: El Bilal Touré) — 1–0 · Watch David Romero's goal video (38')
- 70' Goal: Milutin Osmajić (assist: Lorenzo Colombo) — 1–1 · Watch Milutin Osmajić's goal video (70')
- 80' Goal: Pontus Almqvist (assist: Nesta Elphege) — 2–1 · Watch Pontus Almqvist's goal video (80')
Starting line-ups
Parma (3-4-2-1)
Genoa (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Parma 27%, the draw 37%, Genoa 36%. It finished Parma 2–1 Genoa.
Anyone's game — Genoa are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus their control of the ball is not enough to separate them. The draw at 37% is the likeliest single result, lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Genoa at 36%?
Genoa sit 80 points higher on our strength rating — 1593 to 1673. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,669 such games. Genoa sit -0.41 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.4% of 1,378 games, vs 29.1% for visitors finishing normally. Genoa hold 7 more possession points (49 to 42 in recent games) across a 80-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,703 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–34–27.
Why only 36%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 36% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 37% and Parma at 27%.
Why is the draw the likeliest result?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.0 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 18,230. The goals environment adds 3.8 points to the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Genoa come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals and 17 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Genoa are missing 1 regular starter — Johan Vásquez — about 19% of their usual starting-XI weight. A body count alone told us nothing.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Parma vs Genoa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch David Romero's goal against Genoa (38').
- Watch Milutin Osmajić's goal against Parma (70').
- Watch Pontus Almqvist's goal against Genoa (80').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Parma 2–1 Genoa. Explore more on the Parma and Genoa team pages or the Serie A page.