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Fiorentina vs 20.09.26 10:301 – 1Full Time
Napoli — Serie A: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1-1 at Stadio Artemio Franchi in a Serie A round five fixture that left both sides still searching for consistency. Napoli went in front through Billy Gilmour in the 23rd minute, converting a chance created by Matteo Politano, and held that lead through to half-time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fiorentina responded early in the second half, with Álex Jiménez levelling in the 51st minute after being set up by Cher Ndour. Neither side could find a second goal thereafter, and the match ended level at 1-1, a result that keeps Napoli ninth on seven points from five games while Fiorentina remain 16th with four points from the same number of matches.
Napoli had the greater share of possession at 58 percent and produced the higher expected-goals figure of 1.45 against Fiorentina's 0.94, though the home side actually had more shots overall, 17 to 13. Fiorentina were also shown three yellow cards to none for Napoli, while Napoli edged the corner count 5 to 4, in a contest refereed by Daniele Doveri.
Álex Jiménez scored Fiorentina's equaliser and finished with a match-best rating of 7.69, while Gilmour's opening goal for Napoli earned him a rating of 7.44.
Napoli's 1.45 expected-goals reading outstripped Fiorentina's 0.94, reflecting the visitors' greater efficiency in the final third despite seeing less of the ball.
Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Fiorentina met Napoli in the Serie A (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 10:30 UTC at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Team pages: Fiorentina · Napoli · Serie A
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fiorentina 32%, the draw 30%, Napoli 38%. It finished Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli.
Napoli's rating edge outweighs Fiorentina's home ground — Napoli are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade plus a weak Serie A home advantage on top give Napoli the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Napoli sit 176 points higher on our strength rating — 1765 to 1940. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,207 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Fiorentina's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,126 games vs 44.9% across all 100,474 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 31–24–45.
Fiorentina sit -0.39 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,463 such games where the class table expected 36.4%.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,162. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. Serie A runs draw-heavy, adding 1.0 points.
Napoli have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Fiorentina in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Fiorentina come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Fiorentina vs Napoli final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli. Explore more on the Fiorentina and Napoli team pages or the Serie A page.
Fiorentina and Napoli drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Billy Gilmour (23') for Napoli; Álex Jiménez (51') for Fiorentina.
Goal highlights and video clips from Fiorentina 1–1 Napoli are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
Fiorentina and Napoli have met 10 times — 2 wins for Fiorentina, 6 wins for Napoli and 2 draws.