Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 14′Monaco, goal:0–1assist
- 20′Le Havre, yellow card:Foul
- 26′Le Havre, goal disallowed:Goal cancelled
- 35′Le Havre, yellow card:Foul
- 40′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 44′Le Havre, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time0 – 1
- 57′Monaco, substitution:off
- 57′Monaco, substitution:off
- 64′Monaco, yellow card:Argument
- 66′Monaco, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 70′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 70′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 80′Monaco, substitution:off
- 81′Monaco, substitution:O. Konateoff
- 88′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 89′Monaco, substitution:off
- Full-time0 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Le Havre
Monaco
Match report
Dier's early strike gives Monaco opening-day win at Le Havre
Monaco began their Ligue 1 campaign with a 1-0 win away to Le Havre in matchday one of the Regular Season, a result settled inside the opening quarter of an hour. The visitors controlled long spells of the contest despite seeing less of the ball, converting their dominance into the game's only goal.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Eric Dier put Monaco ahead in the 14th minute, finishing off an assist from Flávio Nazinho to make it 0-1, and that scoreline held firm through to half-time and beyond. Le Havre pushed to find an equaliser but could not break through, leaving Didier Digard's side without a goal on home soil.
Monaco finished with 15 shots to Le Havre's 10 and were far sharper in front of goal, putting seven on target compared with the hosts' two. Luis Filipe's side move to fifth in the table with three points from their opening match, while Le Havre sit 12th after failing to register on the scoresheet.
Eric Dier scored the only goal of the match and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 8.5, while his provider Flávio Nazinho also featured among the top performers with an assist to his name.
Monaco's 1.39 expected goals figure against Le Havre's 0.43 underlined how much more clinically the away side created and threatened throughout the match.
Monaco won 1–0 away against Le Havre (half-time 0–1).
Le Havre met Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 1). Kick-off was Sunday, 23 August 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade Océane. Referee: Jeremie Pignard.
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Eric Dier (assist: Flávio Nazinho) — 0–1 · Watch Eric Dier's goal video (14')
Starting line-ups
Le Havre (3-4-2-1)
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Le Havre 22%, the draw 24%, Monaco 54%. It finished Le Havre 0–1 Monaco.
Monaco's rating gap outweighs Le Havre's home ground — Monaco are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Monaco the lean. The draw at 24% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Monaco at 54%?
Monaco sit 246 points higher on our strength rating — 1603 to 1849. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge on the road won 52.0% of 6,034 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Le Havre's column. Across 10,693 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.1 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 20–28–52.
Why only 54%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 54% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Le Havre at 22%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,983. Early-season fixtures add 2.1 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 2.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monaco average 8 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 246 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. Monaco scored +0.34 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,786 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Le Havre vs Monaco final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Le Havre 0–1 Monaco. Explore more on the Le Havre and Monaco team pages or the Ligue 1 page.