Le Havre vs 05.09.26 18:451 – 2Full Time
Stade Brestois 29 — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 — the facts
Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 away against Le Havre (half-time 0–1).
Le Havre met Stade Brestois 29 in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 3). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Océane. Referee: Marc Bollengier.
Team pages: Le Havre · Stade Brestois 29 · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 12' Goal (penalty): Kamory Doumbia — 0–1 · Watch Kamory Doumbia's goal video (12')
- 45+2' Red card: Junior Mwanga
- 51' Goal: Kamory Doumbia (assist: Mama Baldé) — 0–2 · Watch Kamory Doumbia's goal video (51')
- 79' Goal (penalty): Rayan Fofana — 1–2 · Watch Rayan Fofana's goal video (79')
Starting line-ups
Le Havre (3-4-2-1)
Stade Brestois 29 (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Le Havre 38%, the draw 28%, Stade Brestois 29 34%. It finished Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29.
Home ground outweighs Stade Brestois 29's rating edge — Stade Brestois 29 are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Le Havre the lean. The draw at 28% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Le Havre at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Stade Brestois 29 sit 92 points higher on our strength rating — 1584 to 1676. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,581 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Stade Brestois 29 are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Le Havre's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,073. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Stade Brestois 29 have shed 98 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,701 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Last 6 between them: Le Havre 1 win, 0 draws, Stade Brestois 29 5 wins. Most recently Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Le Havre, 6 months ago. Fixture history hasn't carried forward once class is level: past leaders won just 28.1% of 5612 such games — no measurable edge, 0 points.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Kamory Doumbia's goal against Le Havre (12').
- Watch Kamory Doumbia's goal against Le Havre (51').
- Watch Rayan Fofana's goal against Stade Brestois 29 (79').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29. Explore more on the Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29 team pages or the Ligue 1 page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
Stade Brestois 29 won 2–1 away against Le Havre (half-time 0–1).
›Who scored in Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29?
Kamory Doumbia (12') (penalty) for Stade Brestois 29; Kamory Doumbia (51') for Stade Brestois 29; Rayan Fofana (79') (penalty) for Le Havre.
›Where can I watch Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29 highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Le Havre 1–2 Stade Brestois 29 are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29?
Le Havre and Stade Brestois 29 have met 10 times — 3 wins for Le Havre, 6 wins for Stade Brestois 29 and 1 draw.