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play_arrow2 clips- 22′Monaco, substitution:off
- Half-time
- 46′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 52′Strasbourg, own goal:1–0Own goal
- 69′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 71′Monaco, goal:1–1assist
- 72′Monaco, substitution:off
- 78′Strasbourg, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 82′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 90′Monaco, yellow card:Argument
- 90′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 1
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Strasbourg
Monaco
Match report
Strasbourg vs Monaco — the facts
Strasbourg and Monaco drew 1–1 (half-time 0–0).
Strasbourg met Monaco in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 4). Kick-off was Saturday, 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade de la Meinau. Referee: Eric Wattellier.
Team pages: Strasbourg · Monaco · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 52' Goal (own goal): Sadibou Sané — 1–0 · Watch Sadibou Sané's goal video (52')
- 71' Goal: Paris Brunner (assist: Lamine Camara) — 1–1 · Watch Paris Brunner's goal video (71')
Starting line-ups
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
Monaco (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Strasbourg 31%, the draw 27%, Monaco 42%. It finished Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco.
Monaco's rating edge outweighs Strasbourg's home ground — Monaco are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Monaco the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Monaco at 42%?
Monaco sit 128 points higher on our strength rating — 1761 to 1890. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,164 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Strasbourg's column. Across 11,058 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–34–37.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Strasbourg at 31%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,178. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Strasbourg scored +0.63 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,853 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Monaco scored +0.47 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Strasbourg vs Monaco final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Strasbourg 1–1 Monaco. Explore more on the Strasbourg and Monaco team pages or the Ligue 1 page.