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- 3′Le Mans, goal:1–0assist
- 11′Lorient, yellow card:Foul
- 17′Lorient, substitution:off
- 19′Lorient, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time1 – 0
- 51′Le Mans, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Le Mans, goal:2–0assist
- 58′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 59′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 61′Lorient, yellow card:Foul
- 65′Lorient, substitution:off
- 65′Lorient, substitution:off
- 72′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 72′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 74′Le Mans, yellow card:Foul
- 75′Lorient, substitution:off
- 75′Lorient, substitution:off
- 78′Le Mans, yellow card:Foul
- 79′Lorient, goal:2–1assist
- 85′Le Mans, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 1
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Le Mans
Lorient
Match report
Le Mans hold off Lorient fightback to claim Ligue 1 win
Le Mans beat Lorient 2-1 at the MMArena in a Ligue 1 round five fixture, moving to eight in the table after a match they controlled for long spells. A. Bourabaa put the hosts ahead inside three minutes, finishing from Rayan Bamba's assist to settle the home side early.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Habibou Diallo doubled the advantage on 57 minutes, converting a chance created by Lucas Bretelle to make it 2-0 and put Lorient under real pressure. The visitors responded when Isak Jensen scored in the 78th minute, assisted by Kan Kouassi, cutting the deficit to a single goal, but Le Mans saw out the remainder to secure the points.
Le Mans had the better of the underlying numbers too, edging possession 51 to 49 percent and outshooting Lorient 11 to 9, with seven of those efforts on target compared to just two for the away side. Both teams picked up three yellow cards apiece in a match that finished goalless in terms of dismissals despite 15 fouls committed by each side.
Habibou Diallo scored the decisive second goal and finished with a rating of 7.75, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Le Mans were far more clinical in front of goal, landing seven of their 11 shots on target against Lorient's two from nine.
Le Mans beat Lorient 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Le Mans met Lorient in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Key moments
- 3' Goal: A. Bourabaa (assist: Rayan Bamba) — 1–0
- 57' Goal: Habib Diallo (assist: Lucas Bretelle) — 2–0
- 79' Goal: Isak Jensen (assist: Arsène Kouassi) — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
- 98 Nicolas Kocik
- 5 Harold Voyer
- 17 Samuel Yohou (c)
- 19 Djibril Sidibé
- 29 Lucas Bretelle
- 76 Yasser Larouci
- 10 Jean Vercruysse
- 11 A. Bourabaa
- 26 Rayan Bamba
- 14 Louis Mafouta
- 13 Habib Diallo
Lorient (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Le Mans 30%, the draw 31%, Lorient 39%. It finished Le Mans 2–1 Lorient.
Lorient's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Lorient are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Lorient the lean. The draw at 31% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Lorient at 39%?
Lorient sit 129 points higher on our strength rating — 1622 to 1751. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,189 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Le Mans's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 36–29–35.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Le Mans at 30%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Le Mans win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,851. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Le Mans are unbeaten in their last 16 home league games: 8 wins and 8 draws. The run began on 23 September 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 12 September 2025 — Le Mans 0–1 Rodez. Latest home league result: 13 September 2026 — Le Mans 2–2 Lens. Across 13,631 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.3%, compared with 54.5% expected from team strength. Le Mans are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Le Mans vs Lorient final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Le Mans 2–1 Lorient. Explore more on the Le Mans and Lorient team pages or the Ligue 1 page.