Paris FC vs 19.09.26 15:152 – 1Full Time
Strasbourg — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Paris FC see off Strasbourg despite late scare from own goal
Paris FC moved up to second in Ligue 1 with a 2-1 win over Strasbourg at Stade Jean Bouin, a result that stretched their unbeaten home form into matchday five. Ilan Kebbal opened the scoring in the 18th minute, finishing from a Lassine Sinayoko assist to give the hosts a lead they held at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Pablo Pagis doubled the advantage in the 57th minute, converting a chance created by Maxime Lopez to put Paris FC 2-0 ahead and in full control. Strasbourg found a way back into the contest deep into the second half when Mamadou Mbow turned the ball into his own net in the 88th minute, but the visitors could not find a leveller before the final whistle.
Paris FC dominated territory and chances throughout, registering 17 shots to Strasbourg's five and forcing seven efforts on target compared to just one from Hugo Oliveira's side. The win lifted L. Rosenior's team to 11 points from five games, while Strasbourg remained sixth on seven points despite the late own-goal consolation.
Kebbal scored the opening goal and finished with a match-high rating of 8.2, setting the tone for Paris FC's victory.
Paris FC's 17 shots to Strasbourg's five underlined how one-sided the contest was in terms of attacking output.
Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
Paris FC met Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 19 September 2026, 15:15 UTC at Stade Jean Bouin. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Team pages: Paris FC · Strasbourg · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Ilan Kebbal (assist: Lassine Sinayoko) — 1–0
- 57' Goal: Pablo Pagis (assist: Maxime Lopez) — 2–0
- 88' Goal (own goal): Mamadou Mbow — 2–1
Starting line-ups
Paris FC (4-2-3-1)
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Paris FC 44%, the draw 24%, Strasbourg 32%. It finished Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg.
Level sides, home ground swings it, even this early in the season — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Strasbourg's hot finishing due to cool gives Paris FC the lean. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Paris FC in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1750 to 1761. Sides this close won 43.1% of 16,010 home games (draw 26.7%, visitors 30.2%). Strasbourg scored +0.63 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 28.9% of 1,506 games, vs 29.2% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 44%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Paris FC's column. Across 11,181 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.7%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,242. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Paris FC have gained 90 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,385 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Strasbourg have shed 80 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,765 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Paris FC vs Strasbourg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg. Explore more on the Paris FC and Strasbourg team pages or the Ligue 1 page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Paris FC beat Strasbourg 2–1 (half-time 1–0).
›Who scored in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
Ilan Kebbal (18') for Paris FC; Pablo Pagis (57') for Paris FC; Mamadou Mbow (88') (own goal) for Strasbourg.
›Where can I watch Paris FC vs Strasbourg highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Paris FC 2–1 Strasbourg are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Paris FC and Strasbourg?
Paris FC and Strasbourg have met 2 times — 0 wins for Paris FC, 1 win for Strasbourg and 1 draw.