HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 46′Toulouse, goal:0–1assist
- 49′Toulouse, yellow card:
- 59′Toulouse, goal:0–2
- 61′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 61′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 61′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 64′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 69′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 76′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 77′Le Mans, substitution:off
- 78′Toulouse, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed
- 85′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 87′Toulouse, goal:0–3assist
- 90′Le Mans, yellow card:
- 90+4′Le Mans, yellow card:
- Full-time0 – 3
Lineups
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Le Mans
Toulouse
Match report
Toulouse beat Le Mans 3-0 with second-half goals at MMArena
Toulouse won 3-0 at Le Mans on Ligue 1 matchday 7, scoring all three goals after the break at MMArena. The sides were level at 0-0 at half-time, but Toulouse struck within a minute of the restart and were never troubled again.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jacen Russell-Rowe opened the scoring in the 46th minute, finishing from Aron Dønnum's assist. Dønnum then got on the scoresheet himself in the 59th minute to make it 2-0, leaving Le Mans with a long evening of chasing the game.
Casper Tengstedt sealed the result in the 87th minute, set up by Cristian Cásseres. Le Mans had slightly more of the ball, with 53% possession to Toulouse's 47%, but Toulouse were far sharper in front of goal.
The result lifted Toulouse from 15th to seventh, on nine points from seven games, while Le Mans stayed on six points and dropped to 15th. Toulouse host Estac Troyes in Ligue 1 on Saturday 24 October, a day before Le Mans travel to Auxerre.
Aron Dønnum provided the assist for the opening goal and scored the second himself, earning the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.51.
Toulouse put five of their 13 shots on target, compared with just one of Le Mans's 11.
Toulouse won 3–0 away against Le Mans (half-time 0–0).
Le Mans met Toulouse in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 16 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at MMArena. Referee: Aurelien Petit. Attendance: 19,230.
Key moments
- 46' Goal: Jacen Russell-Rowe (assist: Aron Dønnum) — 0–1 · Watch Jacen Russell-Rowe's goal video (46')
- 59' Goal: Aron Dønnum — 0–2 · Watch Aron Dønnum's goal video (59')
- 87' Goal: Casper Tengstedt (assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.) — 0–3 · Watch Casper Tengstedt's goal video (87')
Starting line-ups
Le Mans (3-1-4-2)
Toulouse (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Le Mans 39%, the draw 28%, Toulouse 33%. It finished Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse.
Home advantage edges Le Mans past stronger Toulouse — We give Le Mans 39% to Toulouse's 33% because the usual home advantage outweighs Toulouse's edge on our strength rating, where they sit 77 points higher at 1662 to 1585. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 29% for a gap this size and nudged down slightly because both teams' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Le Mans at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Toulouse sit 77 points higher on our strength rating — 1662 to 1585. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,392 such games.
Why only 39%?
Because Toulouse are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Toulouse at 33%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,191.
What did we measure but not count?
Le Mans are unbeaten in their last 17 home league games: 9 wins and 8 draws. The run began on 23 September 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 12 September 2025 — Le Mans 0–1 Rodez. Latest home league result: 19 September 2026 — Le Mans 2–1 Lorient. Across 13,722 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. Le Mans are newly promoted — game 7 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Le Mans vs Toulouse final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jacen Russell-Rowe's goal against Le Mans (46').
- Watch Aron Dønnum's goal against Le Mans (59').
- Watch Casper Tengstedt's goal against Le Mans (87').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Le Mans 0–3 Toulouse. Explore more on the Le Mans and Toulouse team pages or the Ligue 1 page.

