HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
- 5′Marseille, goal:1–0assist
- 33′Marseille, goal:2–0assist
- Half-time2 – 0
- 50′Marseille, goal:3–0assist
- 55′Marseille, goal:4–0
- 61′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 61′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 77′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 77′Le Havre, penalty goal:4–1Penalty
- 77′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 78′Marseille, substitution:off
- 78′Marseille, substitution:off
- 83′Le Havre, yellow card:
- 84′Marseille, substitution:off
- 84′Marseille, substitution:off
- 84′Le Havre, substitution:off
- 86′Le Havre, goal:4–2
- 89′Le Havre, goal:4–3assist
- 90+2′Marseille, substitution:off
- 90+6′Le Havre, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 90+10′Le Havre, yellow card:
- 90+11′Le Havre, yellow card:
- 90+12′Marseille, yellow card:
- Full-time4 – 3
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Marseille
Le Havre
Match report
Marseille hold off Le Havre fightback to win seven-goal thriller 4-3
Marseille beat Le Havre 4-3 at the Orange Vélodrome in a Ligue 1 matchday 8 fixture that was effectively settled by half-time of the second period, before the visitors mounted a late scare with three goals in the final 13 minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The hosts struck early. CJ Egan-Riley opened the scoring in the fifth minute from an Emerson assist, and Timothy Weah doubled the lead on 33 minutes, set up by Igor Paixão. Marseille led 2-0 at the interval and extended that after the restart: Paixão scored from an Amine Gouiri assist on 50 minutes, and Himad Abdelli made it 4-0 five minutes later.
Le Havre, who had 21 shots to Marseille's 11, finally broke through when Josh Maja converted a penalty on 77 minutes. Mouhamed Ndiaye added a second on 86 minutes, and Maja struck again on 89, assisted by Kaito Mizuta, to make it 4-3. Marseille held on through the closing stages.
The win lifted Marseille to eighth in the table on 12 points. Le Havre stay 18th on 2 points, have now lost four games in a row and are without a win in eight. Le Havre host Paris Saint Germain in Ligue 1 on Friday 30 October, while Marseille entertain Toulouse at home on Sunday 1 November.
Josh Maja scored twice for Le Havre, a 77th-minute penalty and an 89th-minute goal, and carried the highest rating of any player on the pitch at 8.08 despite finishing on the losing side.
Le Havre had 21 shots to Marseille's 11, though they trailed 4-0 before the late rally.
Marseille beat Le Havre 4–3 (half-time 2–0).
Marseille met Le Havre in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 25 October 2026, 16:15 UTC at Orange Vélodrome. Referee: Clement Turpin. Attendance: 51,000.
Key moments
- 5' Goal: CJ Egan-Riley (assist: Emerson) — 1–0
- 33' Goal: Timothy Weah (assist: Igor Paixão) — 2–0
- 50' Goal: Igor Paixão (assist: Amine Gouiri) — 3–0
- 55' Goal: Himad Abdelli — 4–0
- 77' Goal (penalty): Josh Maja — 4–1
- 86' Goal: Mouhamed Ndiaye — 4–2
- 89' Goal: Josh Maja (assist: Kaito Mizuta) — 4–3
Starting line-ups
Marseille (4-2-3-1)
Le Havre (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Marseille 54%, the draw 25%, Le Havre 21%. It finished Marseille 4–3 Le Havre.
Marseille's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — We give Marseille 54% mainly because our strength rating has them 156 points higher, 1699 to 1544, though Le Havre's cold finishing pulls a little the other way, as streaks like theirs have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, with that finishing streak nudging it down and a typical 2.6-goal scoring level nudging it back up.
Why Marseille at 54%?
Marseille sit 156 points higher on our strength rating — 1699 to 1544. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,340 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–22–19.
Why only 54%?
Le Havre sit -0.43 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.5% of 2,943 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,316. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Marseille have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than Le Havre in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Le Havre come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals, 15 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Marseille vs Le Havre final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Marseille 4–3 Le Havre. Explore more on the Marseille and Le Havre team pages or the Ligue 1 page.