Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLigue 1 McDonald’sYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 15′Stade Brestois 29, goal:1–0
- Half-time1 – 0
- 54′Nice, substitution:off
- 58′Nice, yellow card:
- 61′Nice, goal:1–1assist
- 62′Stade Brestois 29, yellow card:
- 63′Nice, substitution:off
- 64′Stade Brestois 29, yellow card:
- 68′Nice, yellow card:
- 70′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 70′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 71′Stade Brestois 29, yellow card:
- 76′Nice, substitution:off
- 76′Nice, substitution:off
- 80′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 80′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 83′Nice, goal:1–2assist
- 85′Nice, yellow card:
- 87′Stade Brestois 29, substitution:off
- 90′Nice, yellow card:
- 90+7′Stade Brestois 29, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 90+8′Nice, yellow card:
- 90+10′Stade Brestois 29, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- Full-time1 – 2
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Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Match report
Nice come from behind to beat Stade Brestois 29 at Stade Francis-Le-Blé
Nice won 2-1 away to Stade Brestois 29 on Matchday 8 of Ligue 1, scoring twice in the final half-hour to overturn a first-half deficit at Stade Francis-Le-Blé. The result lifted the visitors to eighth in the table on 11 points, while Brest finished the evening 11th on 9.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Ludovic Ajorque put the hosts ahead after 15 minutes and they took that 1-0 lead into the interval. Brest had the better of the first period on the scoreboard, and across the match they registered 13 shots to Nice's nine, with seven of those on target to the visitors' two.
The match turned in the 61st minute, when Elye Wahi converted from Mohamed Amoura's assist to make it 1-1. Wahi then became provider for the winner, setting up Sofiane Diop in the 83rd minute to complete the comeback. Nice also won the corner count by seven to three.
Both sides are in Ligue 1 action again on Saturday 31 October: Nice host Rennes, and Brest travel to Lorient.
Elye Wahi scored the equaliser and set up Sofiane Diop's winner, earning a match rating of 7.7, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Brest had 7 shots on target to Nice's 2, yet it was the visitors who left with the three points.
Nice won 2–1 away against Stade Brestois 29 (half-time 1–0).
Stade Brestois 29 met Nice in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Friday, 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stade Francis-Le-Blé. Referee: Guillaume Paradis. Attendance: 13,036.
Team pages: Stade Brestois 29 · Nice · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 15' Goal: Ludovic Ajorque — 1–0 · Watch Ludovic Ajorque's goal video (15')
- 61' Goal: Elye Wahi (assist: Mohamed Amoura) — 1–1 · Watch Elye Wahi's goal video (61')
- 83' Goal: Sofiane Diop (assist: Elye Wahi) — 1–2 · Watch Sofiane Diop's goal video (83')
Starting line-ups
Stade Brestois 29 (4-2-3-1)
Nice (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Stade Brestois 29 36%, the draw 31%, Nice 33%. It finished Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice.
Home advantage edges a level contest, Nice close behind — Our strength rating has almost nothing between the sides, so Stade Brestois 29's usual home advantage gives them a slight lean at 36%, though Nice narrow the gap because their cold finishing streak tends to bounce back. The draw starts at the usual 27% between sides this level and rises to 31%, lifted by Nice's control of the ball, that finishing streak and a typical 2.6-goal scoring rate.
Why Stade Brestois 29 in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1640 to 1620. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,518 home games (draw 27.4%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 36%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Nice sit -0.42 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.9% of 1,640 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Nice hold 9 more possession points (55 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 39.7% across 5,919 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 31%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,291. The control factor adds 1.4 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Nice are winless in their last 8 away games: 3 draws and 5 defeats. The run began on 4 April 2026. Last recorded away league win: 14 March 2026 — Angers 0–2 Nice. Latest recorded away league result: 18 October 2026 — Lyon 2–1 Nice. Across 14,183 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.4%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. Nice have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Stade Brestois 29 vs Nice final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ludovic Ajorque's goal against Nice (15').
- Watch Elye Wahi's goal against Stade Brestois 29 (61').
- Watch Sofiane Diop's goal against Stade Brestois 29 (83').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Stade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice. Explore more on the Stade Brestois 29 and Nice team pages or the Ligue 1 page.