Match report
Telstar vs Cambuur — the facts
Telstar and Cambuur drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
Telstar met Cambuur in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 12:30 UTC at BUKO Stadion. Referee: Joey Kooij.
Team pages: Telstar · Cambuur · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 22' Red card: Nökkvi Þórisson
- 53' Goal: Rafik El Arguioui (assist: Nicolas Binder) — 0–1
- 60' Goal: Nicolas Binder (assist: Ilyes Hamache) — 0–2
- 63' Goal (penalty): Ronald Koeman — 1–2
- 90' Goal (penalty): Ronald Koeman — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Telstar (3-4-2-1)
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Telstar 57%, the draw 24%, Cambuur 19%. It finished Telstar 2–2 Cambuur.
Telstar's rating edge carries it — Telstar are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Telstar's 57%. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Telstar at 57%?
Telstar sit 178 points higher on our strength rating — 1540 to 1361. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,784 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–23–19.
Why only 57%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Telstar's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,128. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Telstar come into this after a busy window — 10 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Cambuur are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Telstar vs Cambuur final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Telstar and Cambuur team pages or the Eredivisie page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Telstar vs Cambuur?
Telstar and Cambuur drew 2–2 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Telstar vs Cambuur?
Rafik El Arguioui (53') for Cambuur; Nicolas Binder (60') for Cambuur; Ronald Koeman (63') (penalty) for Telstar; Ronald Koeman (90') (penalty) for Telstar.
›Where can I watch Telstar vs Cambuur highlights?
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Telstar vs Cambuur; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.