ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow1 clip- 21′PSV Eindhoven, goal:0–1assist
- 38′PSV Eindhoven, yellow card:Foul
- 40′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 42′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- 43′PSV Eindhoven, red card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 46′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 46′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 46′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 55′ADO Den Haag, goal:1–1assist
- 58′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 66′ADO Den Haag, substitution:off
- 69′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- 69′PSV Eindhoven, substitution:off
- 70′ADO Den Haag, substitution:Alejandro Pozooff
- 73′ADO Den Haag, yellow card:Foul
- 90+3′ADO Den Haag, own goal:2–1Own goal
- Full-time2 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Player Ratings
ADO Den Haag
PSV Eindhoven
Match report
ADO Den Haag beat ten-man PSV Eindhoven with stoppage-time goal
ADO Den Haag won 2-1 against PSV Eindhoven in Eredivisie Matchday 9 at the Bingoal Stadion, scoring twice after the break to overturn a half-time deficit. The result gave the hosts their first league win of the season, after eight league games without one, and lifted them from 17th place to 16th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
PSV Eindhoven went ahead in the 21st minute when Sven Mijnans scored from Guus Til's assist. Mijnans was then sent off in the 43rd minute, leaving the visitors with ten men for the remainder of the match. From that point PSV scored none and conceded two, and ADO went into the interval 1-0 down.
Juho Kilo levelled in the 55th minute, converting a pass from Yannick Eduardo. The game looked set for a draw until the 90+3 minute, when Matěj Šín struck from Evan Rottier's assist to complete the turnaround. PSV stayed third, on 19 points, 13 clear of ADO, who have six.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given ADO Den Haag an 8% chance of winning. ADO next host Heerenveen in the Eredivisie on Saturday, while PSV travel to FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday.
Juho Kilo scored the equaliser in the 55th minute and received the highest rating of any player in the match, 8.2. Matěj Šín added the winner at 90+3 to take his own rating to 7.45.
ADO Den Haag committed 20 fouls to PSV Eindhoven's 9, and collected three yellow cards to the visitors' none.
ADO Den Haag beat PSV Eindhoven 2–1 (half-time 0–1).
ADO Den Haag met PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:30 UTC at Bingoal Stadion. Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof.
Team pages: ADO Den Haag · PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 21' Goal: Sven Mijnans (assist: Guus Til) — 0–1 · Watch Sven Mijnans's goal video (21')
- 43' Red card: Sven Mijnans
- 55' Goal: Juho Kilo (assist: Yannick Eduardo) — 1–1
- 90+3' Goal (own goal): Matěj Kovář — 2–1
Starting line-ups
ADO Den Haag (5-3-2)
PSV Eindhoven (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave ADO Den Haag 8%, the draw 16%, PSV Eindhoven 76%. It finished ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven.
PSV Eindhoven's big strength edge drives a one-sided forecast — We give PSV Eindhoven 76% mainly because they sit 482 points higher on our strength rating, 1791 to 1309, which outweighs the usual home advantage ADO Den Haag start with. The draw sits at 16%, starting from the usual 17% for a gap this size and nudged down because both sides' own recent games average 3.7 goals.
Why PSV Eindhoven at 76%?
PSV Eindhoven sit 482 points higher on our strength rating — 1791 to 1309. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,873 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 6–16–78.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 76% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 16% and ADO Den Haag at 8%.
Why is the draw only 16%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 16.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.7 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
PSV Eindhoven have averaged 10 percentage points more possession than ADO Den Haag in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. ADO Den Haag are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from ADO Den Haag 2–1 PSV Eindhoven. Explore more on the ADO Den Haag and PSV Eindhoven team pages or the Eredivisie page.