NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow5 clips- 18′Fortuna Sittard, goal:0–1assist
- 28′NEC Nijmegen, goal:1–1assist
- 38′Fortuna Sittard, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 46′Fortuna Sittard, substitution:off
- 48′Fortuna Sittard, goal:1–2assist
- 54′Fortuna Sittard, yellow card:Foul
- 63′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 63′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 63′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 70′Fortuna Sittard, substitution:off
- 81′Fortuna Sittard, substitution:off
- 84′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 84′NEC Nijmegen, substitution:off
- 86′Fortuna Sittard, substitution:off
- 88′NEC Nijmegen, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 90′NEC Nijmegen, missed penalty:Missed penalty
- 90+3′NEC Nijmegen, goal:2–2assist
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
Match report
NEC Nijmegen snatch late 2-2 draw with Fortuna Sittard
NEC Nijmegen drew 2-2 with Fortuna Sittard at Stadion de Goffert on Eredivisie matchday 9, Willum Willumsson heading them level in the 90+3 minute after the home side had dominated the match without turning that control into a lead.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Fortuna took the lead against the run of play in the 18th minute, Anthony Descotte finishing from Rodrigo Guth's assist. NEC levelled ten minutes later, Kevin Kers scoring from a Dennis Geiger pass, and the sides went in at 1-1 at the break.
Descotte restored the visitors' advantage three minutes after the restart, in the 48th minute, converting a delivery from Shiloh Kiesar ’t Zand. NEC pressed for the remainder, but the equaliser did not arrive until the 90+3 minute, when Willumsson scored from Perr Schuurs' assist.
The point left NEC Nijmegen 12th on 10 points, still without a win in eight games, while Fortuna Sittard stayed sixth on 15. NEC travel to Dinamo Zagreb in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, and Fortuna host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sunday.
Descotte scored both of Fortuna Sittard's goals and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 9.01. Kers, with the home side's first goal, was next on 8.07.
NEC Nijmegen had 24 shots to Fortuna Sittard's 5, yet needed a stoppage-time goal to avoid defeat.
NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard drew 2–2 (half-time 1–1).
NEC Nijmegen met Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stadion de Goffert. Referee: Alex Bos.
Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 18' Goal: Anthony Descotte (assist: Rodrigo Guth) — 0–1 · Watch Anthony Descotte's goal video (18')
- 28' Goal: Kevin Kers (assist: Dennis Geiger) — 1–1 · Watch Kevin Kers's goal video (28')
- 48' Goal: Anthony Descotte (assist: Shiloh ’t Zand) — 1–2 · Watch Anthony Descotte's goal video (48')
- 90+3' Goal: Willum Þór Willumsson (assist: Perr Schuurs) — 2–2 · Watch Willum Þór Willumsson's goal video (90+3')
Starting line-ups
NEC Nijmegen (3-4-2-1)
Fortuna Sittard (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave NEC Nijmegen 57%, the draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 21%. It finished NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard.
Stronger rating puts NEC Nijmegen clearly ahead — We give NEC Nijmegen 57% mainly because our strength rating has them 74 points higher, 1545 to 1470, and Fortuna Sittard's recent scoring above their chances adds to it, as hot streaks like that tend to cool off. The draw sits at 22%, down from a usual 27% for this gap, lowered by that finishing streak and by both sides' recent games averaging 3.5 goals.
Why NEC Nijmegen at 57%?
NEC Nijmegen sit 74 points higher on our strength rating — 1545 to 1470. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,414 such games. Fortuna Sittard scored +0.61 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.4% of 1,477 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. NEC Nijmegen hold 14 more possession points (52 to 38 in recent games) across a 74-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,647 such games where the class table expected 40.6%.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and Fortuna Sittard at 21%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
NEC Nijmegen have shed 79 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,621 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. NEC Nijmegen come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals, 14 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Anthony Descotte's goal against NEC Nijmegen (18').
- Watch Kevin Kers's goal against Fortuna Sittard (28').
- Watch Anthony Descotte's goal against NEC Nijmegen (48').
- Watch Willum Þór Willumsson's goal against Fortuna Sittard (90+3').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna Sittard. Explore more on the NEC Nijmegen and Fortuna Sittard team pages or the Eredivisie page.