PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles — Eredivisie: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsGo Ahead EaglesYouTubeMatch Events
- 22′GO Ahead Eagles, goal:0–1
- 24′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 1
- 47′PEC Zwolle, goal:1–1assist
- 58′PEC Zwolle, goal:2–1
- 65′GO Ahead Eagles, substitution:off
- 65′GO Ahead Eagles, substitution:off
- 65′GO Ahead Eagles, substitution:off
- 70′PEC Zwolle, goal:3–1assist
- 71′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 71′GO Ahead Eagles, substitution:off
- 78′GO Ahead Eagles, substitution:off
- 80′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 80′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 81′PEC Zwolle, substitution:off
- 89′PEC Zwolle, goal:4–1assist
- Full-time4 – 1
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PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
Match report
PEC Zwolle come from behind to beat GO Ahead Eagles 4-1
PEC Zwolle won 4-1 against GO Ahead Eagles at MAC³PARK Stadion on Eredivisie matchday 9, turning a half-time deficit into a comfortable victory. The result ended a run of five games without a win for the hosts, who had lost four of their last five before kick-off.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The visitors led at the break through Stefán Sigurðarson, who scored in the 22nd minute. Zwolle levelled within two minutes of the restart, Sydney van Hooijdonk finishing from Dylan Mbayo's assist in the 47th minute. Thijs Oosting then put the hosts ahead in the 58th minute.
Oosting added his second in the 70th minute, set up by Damian van der Haar, and Koen Kostons completed the scoring in the 89th minute from Ibrahim Cissoko's assist. GO Ahead Eagles are now without a win in six games. The result lifted Zwolle from 17th to 15th, while the Eagles stayed ninth on 11 points.
Zwolle next travel to Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October, while GO Ahead Eagles host Telstar in the same competition on Friday 23 October.
Thijs Oosting scored twice, in the 58th and 70th minutes, to turn the contest in Zwolle's favour, and earned a rating of 9.33 for his display.
Despite the heavy defeat, GO Ahead Eagles held 59% of the possession against Zwolle's 41%.
PEC Zwolle beat GO Ahead Eagles 4–1 (half-time 0–1).
PEC Zwolle met GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 10:15 UTC at MAC³PARK Stadion. Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie.
Team pages: PEC Zwolle · GO Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Stefán Sigurðarson — 0–1
- 47' Goal: Sydney van Hooijdonk (assist: Dylan Mbayo) — 1–1
- 58' Goal: Thijs Oosting — 2–1
- 70' Goal: Thijs Oosting (assist: Damian van der Haar) — 3–1
- 89' Goal: Koen Kostons (assist: Ibrahim Cissoko) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
PEC Zwolle (4-2-3-1)
GO Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave PEC Zwolle 31%, the draw 26%, GO Ahead Eagles 43%. It finished PEC Zwolle 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles.
Stronger GO Ahead Eagles hold a slight edge — GO Ahead Eagles lead mainly because our strength rating puts them 116 points higher, 1514 to 1398, and their habit of controlling the ball, with 53% possession to 43% in recent games, adds to that. The draw starts from 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 26% because both sides' own recent games average 3.9 goals.
Why GO Ahead Eagles at 43%?
GO Ahead Eagles sit 116 points higher on our strength rating — 1514 to 1398. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,861 such games. GO Ahead Eagles hold 10 more possession points (53 to 43 in recent games) across a 116-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 8,647 such games where the class table expected 40.6%. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–28–39.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and PEC Zwolle at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.9 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
GO Ahead Eagles scored +0.52 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,855 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.4% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. PEC Zwolle have shed 67 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,621 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from PEC Zwolle 4–1 GO Ahead Eagles. Explore more on the PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles team pages or the Eredivisie page.