Match Events
- 7′Cambuur, goal:1–0assist
- 10′AZ Alkmaar, yellow card:Foul
- 24′Cambuur, yellow card:Foul
- 26′AZ Alkmaar, goal:1–1assist
- 39′Cambuur, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 53′Cambuur, red card:
- 57′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 59′AZ Alkmaar, yellow card:Foul
- 63′AZ Alkmaar, substitution:off
- 63′AZ Alkmaar, substitution:off
- 64′AZ Alkmaar, substitution:off
- 64′AZ Alkmaar, substitution:off
- 74′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 81′Cambuur, yellow card:Johan PlatDissent
- 81′AZ Alkmaar, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 82′Cambuur, yellow card:Foul
- 83′AZ Alkmaar, penalty goal:2–2Penalty
- 84′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 84′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 84′Cambuur, substitution:off
- 89′AZ Alkmaar, substitution:Jerolldino Bergraafoff
- Full-time2 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
Match report
Cambuur denied by AZ Alkmaar penalty after Bouah red card
Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar drew 2-2 at the Kooi Stadion on Eredivisie matchday 9, with Mexx Meerdink's 83rd-minute penalty salvaging a point for the visitors after the hosts had been reduced to ten men.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Cambuur made the better start. Nicolas Binder opened the scoring in the seventh minute, converting a Jason Çeka assist. AZ levelled in the 26th minute when Ro-Zangelo Daal finished from a Peer Koopmeiners pass, but Cambuur restored their lead before the break, Ilyes Hamache scoring in the 39th minute from Billy van Duijl's delivery.
The game turned eight minutes into the second half, when Devid Bouah was sent off for Cambuur at 53 minutes with the score 2-1. From then on Cambuur scored none and conceded one. AZ pressed for the equaliser, which came from the spot through Meerdink with seven minutes left.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given the draw a 19% chance. The result left AZ second on 20 points, 11 clear of Cambuur in 13th on nine. Cambuur travel to Willem II in the Eredivisie on Saturday 24 October, while AZ visit Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday 22 October.
Binder scored the opening goal and earned the match's highest rating, 8.2, for a display that gave Cambuur their early advantage.
AZ held 64% of the possession, though Cambuur had more shots, 11 to 7.
Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar drew 2–2 (half-time 2–1).
Cambuur met AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 12:30 UTC at Kooi Stadion. Referee: Stan Teuben.
Team pages: Cambuur · AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Nicolas Binder (assist: Jason Çeka) — 1–0
- 26' Goal: Ro-Zangelo Daal (assist: Peer Koopmeiners) — 1–1
- 39' Goal: Ilyes Hamache (assist: Billy van Duijl) — 2–1
- 53' Red card: Devid Bouah
- 83' Goal (penalty): Mexx Meerdink — 2–2
Starting line-ups
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Cambuur 15%, the draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 66%. It finished Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar's strength gap drives a clear lead — We give AZ Alkmaar 66% mainly because our strength rating has them 314 points higher, 1697 to 1384, which outweighs the usual home advantage Cambuur start with. The draw sits at 19%, a little under the usual 21% for a gap this size, because both sides' own recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why AZ Alkmaar at 66%?
AZ Alkmaar sit 314 points higher on our strength rating — 1697 to 1384. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 5,882 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 15–21–64.
Why only 66%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 66% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Cambuur at 15%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 20.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,995. The goals environment takes 1.8 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
AZ Alkmaar have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Cambuur in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Cambuur are newly promoted — game 9 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Eredivisie fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar. Explore more on the Cambuur and AZ Alkmaar team pages or the Eredivisie page.