St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 9′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 13′St. Truiden, yellow card:Foul
- 41′St. Truiden, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′St. Truiden, substitution:off
- 54′St. Truiden, goal:2–0assist
- 59′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 60′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 61′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 73′St. Truiden, goal:3–0assist
- 74′St. Truiden, substitution:off
- 74′St. Truiden, substitution:off
- 74′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 74′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 78′St. Truiden, goal:4–0assist
- 80′St. Truiden, substitution:off
- 84′St. Truiden, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
St. Truiden
RAAL La Louvière
Match report
St. Truiden crush RAAL La Louvière 4-0 in Jupiler Pro League
St. Truiden claimed a comprehensive 4-0 victory over RAAL La Louvière in Belgium's Jupiler Pro League, a result that lifted them to seventh in the table while leaving their visitors rooted in 16th place after five rounds. The match was played at Daio Wasabi Stayen under referee Bert Verbeke.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
St. Truiden broke the deadlock in the 41st minute when Ryan Merlen converted an assist from Kaito Matsuzawa to make it 1-0 at the break. The hosts extended their lead early in the second half through Robert-Jan Vanwesemael, set up by Merlen, before Samed Baždar struck twice in quick succession, in the 73rd and 78th minutes, both assisted by Abdoulaye Sissako, to complete the 4-0 scoreline.
St. Truiden dominated proceedings throughout, holding 73% of possession and firing 23 shots to RAAL La Louvière's nine, with seven finding the target compared to just one for the visitors. The hosts also won the corner count 12 to 5, underlining their control from start to finish.
Samed Baždar scored twice in the closing stages to seal the win, finishing with a rating of 9.45 to top the performers on the day.
St. Truiden's dominance was reflected in their 73% share of possession compared to RAAL La Louvière's 27%.
St. Truiden beat RAAL La Louvière 4–0 (half-time 1–0).
St. Truiden met RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Daio Wasabi Stayen. Referee: Bert Verbeke.
Team pages: St. Truiden · RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 41' Goal: Ryan Merlen (assist: Kaito Matsuzawa) — 1–0
- 54' Goal: Robert-Jan Vanwesemael (assist: Ryan Merlen) — 2–0
- 73' Goal: Samed Baždar (assist: Abdoulaye Sissako) — 3–0
- 78' Goal: Samed Baždar (assist: Kaito Matsuzawa) — 4–0
Starting line-ups
St. Truiden (4-2-3-1)
RAAL La Louvière (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave St. Truiden 69%, the draw 18%, RAAL La Louvière 13%. It finished St. Truiden 4–0 RAAL La Louvière.
St. Truiden's rating gap decides it — St. Truiden are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of St. Truiden's 69%. The draw at 18% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why St. Truiden at 69%?
St. Truiden sit 253 points higher on our strength rating — 1700 to 1446. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,974 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 71–17–12.
Why only 69%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims St. Truiden's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 17.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,073. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
St. Truiden average 10 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 253 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. RAAL La Louvière come into this after a busy window — 27 arrivals, 24 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the St. Truiden vs RAAL La Louvière final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the St. Truiden and RAAL La Louvière team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.