Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 35′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Foul
- 42′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 55′Kortrijk, yellow card:Foul
- 57′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Dissent
- 62′Kortrijk, red card:Professional foul last man
- 62′Kortrijk, VAR review:Card upgrade confirmed
- 63′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Dissent
- 66′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 66′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 76′Kortrijk, substitution:off
- 76′Kortrijk, substitution:off
- 76′Kortrijk, substitution:off
- 85′Zulte Waregem, substitution:off
- 90+3′Zulte Waregem, goal:0–1assist
- 90+5′Zulte Waregem, goal:0–2assist
- 90+6′Kortrijk, yellow card:Argument
- 90+6′Kortrijk, red card:Violent conduct
- 90+6′Zulte Waregem, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time0 – 2
Lineups
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Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Kortrijk
Zulte Waregem
Match report
Ten-man Kortrijk collapse late as Zulte Waregem strike twice
Kortrijk slipped to a 0-2 home defeat by Zulte Waregem in matchday five of the Jupiler Pro League at Guldensporen Stadion, a result that leaves the hosts pointless and bottom of the table while the visitors climbed to fifth. The contest stayed goalless through a tense first half and much of the second before unravelling dramatically for the home side in stoppage time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The turning point had already arrived in the 62nd minute when Rok Storman was sent off for Kortrijk, leaving Michiel Jonckheere's side to see out the remainder of the match a man short. Zulte Waregem eventually made the numerical advantage count deep into added time, with Akpa Hemsley converting an Anosike Ementa assist in the 90+3rd minute to break the deadlock.
Two minutes later Átrók Zalán doubled the visitors' lead, finishing off a Malick Mbaye assist to make it 0-2. Kortrijk's afternoon deteriorated further when Rudy Kohon was shown a second red card in the sixth minute of stoppage time, meaning the hosts finished with nine men as Zulte Waregem closed out a comfortable win built on control for large spells of the match.
Hemsley broke the deadlock in the 90+3rd minute and was rated the top performer on the pitch with a 7.66 mark, while strike partner Zalán added the second goal moments later and was not far behind in the ratings.
Zulte Waregem's dominance was reflected in their 57% share of possession against a Kortrijk side reduced to nine men by the finish.
Zulte Waregem won 2–0 away against Kortrijk (half-time 0–0).
Kortrijk met Zulte Waregem in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Guldensporen Stadion. Referee: Jasper Vergoote.
Team pages: Kortrijk · Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 62' Red card: Rok Štorman
- 90+3' Goal: Hemsley Akpa-Chukwu (assist: Anosike Ementa) — 0–1
- 90+5' Goal: Átrók Zalán (assist: Malick Mbaye) — 0–2
- 90+6' Red card: Rudy Kohon
Starting line-ups
Kortrijk (3-4-2-1)
Zulte Waregem (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Kortrijk 31%, the draw 29%, Zulte Waregem 40%. It finished Kortrijk 0–2 Zulte Waregem.
Zulte Waregem's rating edge outweighs Kortrijk's home ground — Zulte Waregem are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top gives Zulte Waregem the lean. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Zulte Waregem at 40%?
Zulte Waregem sit 139 points higher on our strength rating — 1512 to 1652. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,146 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Kortrijk's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–28–40.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Kortrijk at 31%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,004. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kortrijk scored +0.37 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,838 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Zulte Waregem scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Kortrijk vs Zulte Waregem final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Kortrijk and Zulte Waregem team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.

