SK Beveren vs OH Leuven — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsPro LeagueYouTubeMatch Events
- 30′SK Beveren, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 56′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 60′SK Beveren, substitution:off
- 62′SK Beveren, yellow card:Dissent
- 68′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 69′SK Beveren, goal:1–0assist
- 72′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 72′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 72′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 78′SK Beveren, substitution:off
- 78′SK Beveren, substitution:off
- 79′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 85′SK Beveren, goal:2–0assist
- 87′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 89′SK Beveren, substitution:off
- 89′SK Beveren, substitution:off
- 90+1′SK Beveren, goal:3–0assist
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
SK Beveren
OH Leuven
Match report
SK Beveren vs OH Leuven — the facts
SK Beveren beat OH Leuven 3–0 (half-time 0–0).
SK Beveren met OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 17:15 UTC at Freethiel Stadion. Referee: Wim Smet.
Team pages: SK Beveren · OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 69' Goal: Chris Lokesa (assist: Jearl Margaritha) — 1–0
- 85' Goal: Jearl Margaritha (assist: Arno Verschueren) — 2–0
- 90+1' Goal: Elohim Kaboré (assist: Dominic Thompson) — 3–0
Starting line-ups
SK Beveren (4-2-3-1)
OH Leuven (3-1-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave SK Beveren 37%, the draw 30%, OH Leuven 33%. It finished SK Beveren 3–0 OH Leuven.
Home ground outweighs OH Leuven's rating edge — OH Leuven are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives SK Beveren the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why SK Beveren at 37%?
Home ground, against the rating. OH Leuven sit 59 points higher on our strength rating — 1423 to 1482. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,603 such games.
Why only 37%?
Because OH Leuven are the stronger side on our strength rating. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims SK Beveren's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,004. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
SK Beveren have gained 90 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,314 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. SK Beveren are newly promoted — game 5 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the SK Beveren vs OH Leuven final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from SK Beveren 3–0 OH Leuven. Explore more on the SK Beveren and OH Leuven team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.