Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsPro LeagueYouTubeMatch Events
- 6′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 17′OH Leuven, goal:0–1assist
- 42′OH Leuven, yellow card:Foul
- 43′OH Leuven, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time0 – 1
- 56′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 56′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 66′Union St. Gilloise, own goal:1–1Own goal
- 67′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 67′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 69′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 72′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 85′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 85′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 85′OH Leuven, substitution:off
- 90′Union St. Gilloise, substitution:off
- 90+1′Union St. Gilloise, red card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Union St. Gilloise
OH Leuven
Match report
Union St. Gilloise held 1-1 by OH Leuven after late red card
Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven shared a 1-1 draw at Stade Joseph Marien in Matchday 8 of the Jupiler Pro League, a result that left the hosts on 20 points in fourth place and the visitors on five in 14th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Leuven took the lead in the 17th minute. Wouter George supplied the pass for Davis Opoku, who scored to make it 1-0 to the away side, and that was the score at half-time. The hosts, who had won all five of their previous league and cup games, were chasing the match from then on.
The equaliser arrived in the 66th minute but was not the work of a Union player. Opoku, the visitors' scorer earlier, turned the ball into his own net to make it 1-1, and neither side could find a winner. Union ended the match with ten men when Louis Patris was sent off in the 90+1 minute.
Union dominated the ball, with 62 per cent of possession against 38 per cent, and won eight corners to three. Even so, the two sides produced a similar number of attempts in the end, with 15 shots to 12.
Louis Patris carried the highest rating among the performers listed, 7.7, though his afternoon ended with a red card in the 90+1 minute.
Union won eight corners to Leuven's three, reflecting the pressure they applied without turning it into a winning goal.
Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven drew 1–1 (half-time 0–1).
Union St. Gilloise met OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 8). Kick-off was Sunday, 11 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stade Joseph Marien. Referee: Nathan Verboomen.
Team pages: Union St. Gilloise · OH Leuven · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 17' Goal: Davis Opoku (assist: Wouter George) — 0–1
- 66' Goal (own goal): Davis Opoku — 1–1
- 90+1' Red card: Louis Patris
Starting line-ups
Union St. Gilloise (3-1-4-2)
OH Leuven (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Union St. Gilloise 88%, the draw 9%, OH Leuven 3%. It finished Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven.
Union St. Gilloise's rating gap decides it — Union St. Gilloise are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Union St. Gilloise's 88%. The draw at 9% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Union St. Gilloise at 88%?
Union St. Gilloise sit 421 points higher on our strength rating — 1826 to 1405. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge at home won 79.2% of 5,553 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 90–8–2.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 88% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 9% and OH Leuven at 3%.
Why is the draw only 9%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 9.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,145.
What did we measure but not count?
Union St. Gilloise have gained 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,181 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Union St. Gilloise are unbeaten in their last 30 home Jupiler Pro League games: 26 wins and 4 draws. The run began on 1 March 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 16 February 2025 — Union St. Gilloise 0–1 KV Mechelen. Latest home league result: 12 September 2026 — Union St. Gilloise 5–0 Lommel United. Across 13,690 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Union St. Gilloise 1–1 OH Leuven. Explore more on the Union St. Gilloise and OH Leuven team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.