Lommel United vs Gent — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsPro LeagueYouTubeMatch Events
- 37′Gent, VAR review:Red card cancelled
- 38′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 57′Gent, substitution:off
- 57′Gent, substitution:off
- 62′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 67′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 71′Gent, substitution:off
- 76′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 76′Lommel United, substitution:off
- 82′Lommel United, goal:1–0assist
- 84′Gent, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Gent, substitution:off
- 85′Gent, substitution:off
- 87′Lommel United, goal:2–0assist
- 90′Gent, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time2 – 0
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Lommel United
Gent
Match report
Lommel United end Gent's unbeaten league run with late 2-0 win
Lommel United beat Gent 2-0 at the Soevereinstadion in the Jupiler Pro League on matchday 10, scoring twice in the final nine minutes after a goalless first half. The result ended Gent's run of nine league games unbeaten at the start of the season, their first league defeat of the campaign.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was finely balanced for 82 minutes. Lommel had 59% of the possession and took 16 shots to Gent's 14, with seven on target to four, but the expected goals figures were close at 1.34 to 1.26. Gent collected three yellow cards, Lommel none.
Juho Talvitie broke the deadlock in the 82nd minute, finishing from a Đorđe Gordić assist to make it 1-0. Gordić then turned scorer in the 87th minute, converting a Lucas Schoofs assist for 2-0, and Lommel held on comfortably.
The win lifted Lommel from eighth to seventh on 15 points, while Gent stayed third on 25. Lommel travel to Antwerp in the league on Saturday 7 November, and Gent are away to KuPS in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 5 November.
Juho Talvitie scored the opening goal in the 82nd minute and finished with a rating of 7.7. Matthias Pieklak of Lommel and Gent's Momodou Sonko were rated highest on 7.9 each.
Lommel had 59% of the possession against Gent's 41%.
Lommel United beat Gent 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
Lommel United met Gent in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Soevereinstadion. Referee: Kevin van Damme.
Team pages: Lommel United · Gent · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 82' Goal: Juho Talvitie (assist: Đorđe Gordić) — 1–0
- 87' Goal: Đorđe Gordić (assist: Lucas Schoofs) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Lommel United (4-2-3-1)
Gent (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lommel United 32%, the draw 29%, Gent 39%. It finished Lommel United 2–0 Gent.
Gent's stronger rating gives them a slight edge — We give Gent 39% because they sit 97 points higher on our strength rating, 1617 to 1520, though Lommel United's usual home advantage keeps the gap modest. The draw starts at 28%, the usual rate for a strength gap this size, and rises to 29% as both teams' own recent games average 2.7 goals.
Why Gent at 39%?
Gent sit 97 points higher on our strength rating — 1617 to 1520. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,851 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–27–34.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Lommel United at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,368. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Gent scored +0.50 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 3,210 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.1% vs 42.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Gent have gained 83 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 40.1% of 11,986 such games vs 40.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lommel United vs Gent final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lommel United 2–0 Gent. Explore more on the Lommel United and Gent team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.