Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 38′KVC Westerlo, yellow card:I. CharaiUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 40′Anderlecht, goal:1–0
- 43′Anderlecht, goal:2–0assist
- 45′Anderlecht, goal:3–0
- Half-time3 – 0
- 53′Anderlecht, yellow card:Foul
- 60′Anderlecht, goal:4–0
- 63′KVC Westerlo, substitution:off
- 63′KVC Westerlo, substitution:off
- 64′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 65′KVC Westerlo, yellow card:Persistent fouling
- 72′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 72′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 73′KVC Westerlo, substitution:off
- 73′KVC Westerlo, substitution:off
- 81′KVC Westerlo, goal:4–1assist
- 85′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 85′Anderlecht, substitution:off
- 85′KVC Westerlo, substitution:off
- 90′Anderlecht, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time4 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Anderlecht
KVC Westerlo
Match report
Anderlecht beat Westerlo 4-1 after three first-half goals
Anderlecht won 4-1 against KVC Westerlo at Lotto Park in the Jupiler Pro League on matchday 10, three goals before the interval settling the contest and ending the visitors' run of seven games unbeaten.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless until the 40th minute, when Mihajlo Cvetković put the hosts ahead. Three minutes later Mario Stroeykens doubled the lead from Cvetković's assist, and Thelo Aasgaard made it 3-0 in first-half stoppage time, in the 45+1 minute.
Lukáš Ambros added a fourth in the 60th minute to leave Vítor Bruno's side in command. Westerlo, managed by Issame Charaï, pulled one back in the 81st minute through Nikola Storm, who finished from Cisse Sandra's assist, but the margin was never under threat.
The result lifted Anderlecht to fifth with 19 points, five clear of seventh-placed Westerlo on 14. Anderlecht's next game is a UEFA Europa League tie at home to Red Bull Salzburg on Thursday, while Westerlo host Charleroi in the league on Saturday 7 November.
Mario Stroeykens scored the second goal and was rated 8.2, level with Westerlo's Amando Lapage as the highest-rated player on the pitch.
Anderlecht had 22 shots to Westerlo's 12, a gap that reflected the hosts' control of the match.
Anderlecht beat KVC Westerlo 4–1 (half-time 3–0).
Anderlecht met KVC Westerlo in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 19:45 UTC at Lotto Park. Referee: Nicolas Laforge.
Team pages: Anderlecht · KVC Westerlo · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 40' Goal: Mihajlo Cvetković — 1–0
- 43' Goal: Mario Stroeykens (assist: Mihajlo Cvetković) — 2–0
- 45' Goal: Thelo Aasgaard — 3–0
- 60' Goal: Lukáš Ambros — 4–0
- 81' Goal: Nikola Storm (assist: Cisse Sandra) — 4–1
Starting line-ups
Anderlecht (4-3-3)
KVC Westerlo (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Anderlecht 58%, the draw 22%, KVC Westerlo 20%. It finished Anderlecht 4–1 KVC Westerlo.
Anderlecht's control of the ball leads the way — We give Anderlecht 58% mainly because they usually dominate possession, holding 59% to 52% in recent games, and our strength rating also rates them a shade stronger. The draw starts near 27%, the usual rate for this gap, but falls to 22% because both sides' recent games average 3.5 goals, plus Westerlo's finishing streak.
Why Anderlecht at 58%?
Anderlecht sit 57 points higher on our strength rating — 1606 to 1549. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,106 such games. Anderlecht hold 7 more possession points (59 to 52 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.3% of 5,609 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level. KVC Westerlo scored +0.73 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,653 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and KVC Westerlo at 20%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
KVC Westerlo come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 11 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Last five: Anderlecht W-L-L-W-L, KVC Westerlo W-W-W-W-D — KVC Westerlo are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 7 on 90-minute results, all competitions (5 wins, 2 draws), a run going back to August 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 43.9% of 2031 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3929 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Anderlecht vs KVC Westerlo final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Anderlecht and KVC Westerlo team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.