KV Mechelen vs Genk — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- -5′Genk, yellow card:Argument
- 2′KV Mechelen, yellow card:Foul
- 3′KV Mechelen, yellow card:F. VanderbiestUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 10′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- 22′KV Mechelen, goal:1–0assist
- 24′KV Mechelen, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′Genk, substitution:off
- 63′Genk, substitution:off
- 64′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 67′Genk, yellow card:Argument
- 75′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 75′KV Mechelen, yellow card:F. VanderbiestUnsportsmanlike conduct
- 79′Genk, substitution:off
- 80′Genk, substitution:off
- 85′KV Mechelen, substitution:off
- 88′Genk, yellow card:Foul
- 90+4′Genk, yellow card:Argument
- 90+5′Genk, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goal
Assist
Player Ratings
KV Mechelen
Genk
Match report
KV Mechelen hold off Genk to win 1-0 at Achter de Kazerne
KV Mechelen beat Genk 1-0 in the Jupiler Pro League on Matchday 10, a result that lifted them from 15th to 13th in the table. Simion Michez scored the only goal of the afternoon at Achter de Kazerne, and the hosts defended their advantage for the rest of the game.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The goal arrived in the 22nd minute. Marco Decherf supplied the pass and Michez finished to make it 1-0, the scoreline at half-time and at the final whistle. Genk, managed by Jess Thorup, never found an equaliser despite plenty of the ball.
The visitors had 56% of the possession and 16 shots to 8, with seven corners to three, yet only five of their efforts were on target against three for Mechelen. The hosts, under Frederic Vanderbiest, ended the match with nine points from nine games, while Genk stayed sixth on 15 points.
Mechelen next travel to Kortrijk on Wednesday in the Jupiler Pro League, while Genk visit Union St. Gilloise in the same competition on Sunday 8 November.
Simion Michez scored the winning goal and was the top-rated player on the pitch with an 8.3 rating. Ortwin De Wolf was close behind on 8.2 for the hosts.
Genk had 16 shots to eight for Mechelen but could not turn that territorial edge into a goal.
KV Mechelen beat Genk 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
KV Mechelen met Genk in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 31 October 2026, 15:00 UTC at Achter de Kazerne. Referee: Lothar D'hondt.
Team pages: KV Mechelen · Genk · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 22' Goal: Simion Michez (assist: Marco Decherf) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
KV Mechelen (3-4-1-2)
Genk (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave KV Mechelen 34%, the draw 25%, Genk 41%. It finished KV Mechelen 1–0 Genk.
Genk's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Genk sit 159 points higher on our strength rating, 1623 to 1464, which puts them narrowly in front at 41%, though KV Mechelen's usual home advantage keeps them close at 34%. The draw starts from 28%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and drops to 25% because both sides' own recent games average 3.4 goals.
Why Genk at 41%?
Genk sit 159 points higher on our strength rating — 1623 to 1464. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,840 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–27–44.
Why only 41%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 41% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and KV Mechelen at 34%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 18,505. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Genk have averaged 7 percentage points more possession than KV Mechelen in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Genk are unbeaten in their last 7 visits to KV Mechelen: 2 wins and 5 draws, across 7 Jupiler Pro League games. Last recorded defeat there: 3 August 2019 — KV Mechelen 3–1 Genk. Latest visit: 13 February 2026 — KV Mechelen 2–3 Genk. Across 2,301 historical matches involving visitors unbeaten in at least five consecutive visits, those visitors won 47.3%, compared with 45.2% expected from the teams' strength ratings. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the KV Mechelen vs Genk final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the KV Mechelen and Genk team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.