Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière — Jupiler Pro League: stats, lineups & analysis
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- 6′Charleroi, goal:1–0assist
- 29′Charleroi, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 33′Charleroi, penalty goal:2–0Penalty
- Half-time2 – 0
- 46′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 46′RAAL La Louvière, yellow card:Foul
- 47′Charleroi, own goal:3–0Own goal
- 48′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 49′Charleroi, goal:4–0assist
- 52′Charleroi, yellow card:Foul
- 62′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 62′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 71′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 71′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 71′RAAL La Louvière, substitution:off
- 75′RAAL La Louvière, goal:4–1assist
- 76′RAAL La Louvière, goal:4–2assist
- 84′Charleroi, goal:5–2assist
- 85′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 85′Charleroi, substitution:off
- 89′Charleroi, yellow card:Time wasting
- 89′Charleroi, second yellow card:Foul
- 89′Charleroi, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time5 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Charleroi
RAAL La Louvière
Match report
Charleroi beat RAAL La Louvière 5-2 despite late red card
Charleroi won 5-2 against RAAL La Louvière at Stade du Pays de Charleroi in Matchday 10 of the Jupiler Pro League, a result that took them to 24 points and fourth place. Jakob Romsaas opened the scoring in the sixth minute, converting a Freddy Mbemba assist, and Aurélien Scheidler added a penalty in the 33rd minute to make it 2-0 at the interval.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The second half began with the match effectively settled. Wagane Faye turned the ball into his own net in the 47th minute, and two minutes later Mbemba finished from a Patrick Pflücke assist to make it 4-0. Charleroi had 14 shots to 10 and held 58 per cent of possession, with six of those efforts on target to La Louvière's three.
RAAL La Louvière rallied briefly, with Léandro Rousseau scoring in the 75th minute from Djibril Lamego's assist and Mustapha Ubandoma following a minute later after a Faye assist to cut the deficit to 4-2. Antoine Colassin restored the three-goal margin in the 84th minute, set up again by Mbemba, and Cheick Keita was sent off in the 89th minute, leaving Charleroi to see out the closing stages with ten men.
La Louvière stay 16th on seven points, 17 behind Charleroi. Both sides play next on Saturday 7 November in the Jupiler Pro League: Charleroi are away to KVC Westerlo, while La Louvière host Cercle Brugge.
Freddy Mbemba scored once and set up two more goals, for Romsaas and Colassin, earning a rating of 9.9 as the best performer on the pitch. Romsaas, with a goal of his own, was next on 7.6.
Charleroi put six of their 14 shots on target, twice as many on-target efforts as La Louvière managed from their 10 attempts.
Charleroi beat RAAL La Louvière 5–2 (half-time 2–0).
Charleroi met RAAL La Louvière in the Jupiler Pro League (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 1 November 2026, 18:15 UTC at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Referee: E. Lambrechts.
Team pages: Charleroi · RAAL La Louvière · Jupiler Pro League
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Jakob Romsaas (assist: Freddy Mbemba) — 1–0
- 33' Goal (penalty): Aurélien Scheidler — 2–0
- 47' Goal (own goal): Wagane Faye — 3–0
- 49' Goal: Freddy Mbemba (assist: Patrick Pflücke) — 4–0
- 75' Goal: Léandro Rousseau (assist: Djibril Lamego) — 4–1
- 76' Goal: Mustapha Ubandoma (assist: Wagane Faye) — 4–2
- 84' Goal: Antoine Colassin (assist: Freddy Mbemba) — 5–2
- 89' Red card: Cheick Keita
Starting line-ups
Charleroi (4-2-3-1)
RAAL La Louvière (5-3-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Charleroi 57%, the draw 24%, RAAL La Louvière 19%. It finished Charleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière.
Charleroi's higher strength rating drives a clear lead — We give Charleroi 57% mainly because they sit 155 points higher on our strength rating, 1590 to 1435, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 24%, just under the usual 25% for a gap this size, as both sides' own recent games averaging 3.0 goals nudge it slightly lower.
Why Charleroi at 57%?
Charleroi sit 155 points higher on our strength rating — 1590 to 1435. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.5% of 14,375 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 63–19–18.
Why only 57%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 57% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and RAAL La Louvière at 19%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,278.
What did we measure but not count?
Charleroi have averaged 18 percentage points more possession than RAAL La Louvière in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. RAAL La Louvière come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 13 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Jupiler Pro League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Charleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière. Explore more on the Charleroi and RAAL La Louvière team pages or the Jupiler Pro League page.