Burnley vs 05.09.26 14:001 – 2Full Time
Bristol City — Championship: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBristol CityYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 45+2′Burnley, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Burnley, substitution:off
- 46′Burnley, substitution:off
- 56′Burnley, goal:1–0assist
- 61′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 62′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 63′Burnley, substitution:off
- 70′Burnley, substitution:off
- 72′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 72′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 80′Bristol City, substitution:off
- 82′Bristol City, goal:1–1assist
- 83′Burnley, yellow card:Foul
- 85′Burnley, substitution:off
- 90′Bristol City, goal:1–2
- 90+4′Burnley, yellow card:Argument
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Burnley
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Match report
Bristol City strike late to sink Burnley at Turf Moor
Bristol City came from behind to win 2-1 at Turf Moor in a Championship round five fixture, overturning Burnley's second-half lead with a late flurry. The result lifted Bristol City into fourth place on 10 points, while Burnley remained deep in the relegation zone in 24th with just two points from five games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Burnley broke the deadlock in the 56th minute when Aaron Ramsey converted an assist from Reo Hatate to make it 1-0. Bristol City responded through Robert Dickie, who levelled in the 82nd minute after being set up by Rio Cardines. The visitors then snatched victory deep into stoppage time, Yu Hirakawa scoring in the 90+1st minute to complete the turnaround at 2-1.
Burnley had the greater share of possession at 53 percent but managed only eight shots, two of which were on target, and picked up three yellow cards to none for their opponents. Bristol City were more direct in attack, registering 14 shots with four on target and forcing eight corners to Burnley's five, a return that reflected their late dominance.
Robert Dickie scored the equaliser and finished with a rating of 7.75, the highest of any player in the match.
Bristol City outshot Burnley 14 to 8 despite having less of the ball, underlining their greater threat in front of goal.
Bristol City won 2–1 away against Burnley (half-time 0–0).
Burnley met Bristol City in the Championship (Regular Season - 5). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 14:00 UTC at Turf Moor. Referee: Gavin Ward.
Team pages: Burnley · Bristol City · Championship
Key moments
- 56' Goal: Aaron Ramsey (assist: Reo Hatate) — 1–0 · Watch Aaron Ramsey's goal video (56')
- 82' Goal: Robert Dickie (assist: Rio Cardines) — 1–1 · Watch Robert Dickie's goal video (82')
- 90' Goal: Yu Hirakawa — 1–2 · Watch Yu Hirakawa's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
- 1 Sam Tickle
- 3 Cameron Pring
- 2 Lisav Eissat
- 16 Robert Dickie
- 21 Rio Cardines
- 8 Joe Williams
- 12 Jason Knight (c)
- 10 Scott Twine
- 27 Gibson Yah
- 17 Jed Wallace
- 9 Lorent Tolaj
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Burnley 51%, the draw 30%, Bristol City 19%. It finished Burnley 1–2 Bristol City.
Burnley's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Burnley are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Burnley the lean. The draw at 30% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Burnley at 51%?
Burnley sit 63 points higher on our strength rating — 1532 to 1470. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.5% of 10,414 such games. Burnley hold 6 more possession points (54 to 48 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 47.9% of 5,196 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 51%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Burnley's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 24.9% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,403 games vs 44.9% across all 99,727 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Bristol City win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,965. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 2.0 points. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Burnley have shed 96 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,701 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Bristol City have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Burnley vs Bristol City final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Aaron Ramsey's goal against Bristol City (56').
- Watch Robert Dickie's goal against Burnley (82').
- Watch Yu Hirakawa's goal against Burnley (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Burnley 1–2 Bristol City. Explore more on the Burnley and Bristol City team pages or the Championship page.