HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow3 clips- 13′Burnley, goal:0–1assist
- 19′Burnley, goal:0–2
- 25′Burnley, goal:0–3assist
- 35′Watford, substitution:off
- Half-time0 – 3
- 46′Watford, substitution:off
- 46′Watford, substitution:off
- 60′Watford, substitution:off
- 62′Burnley, substitution:off
- 63′Burnley, substitution:off
- 69′Watford, substitution:off
- 74′Burnley, substitution:off
- 84′Burnley, substitution:off
- 87′Burnley, goal:0–4assist
- Full-time0 – 4
Lineups
Tap a player for match stats
Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Videos
Player Ratings
Watford
Burnley
Match report
Burnley rout Watford 4-0 as three first-half goals settle Championship tie
Burnley won 4-0 at Vicarage Road in a Championship matchday nine fixture, with three goals in the first 25 minutes leaving Watford with nothing to chase. The visitors, 22nd in the table before kick-off, moved clear of their hosts' position with a result that matched the scale of their early dominance.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jacob Bruun Larsen opened the scoring in the 13th minute, finishing from a Reo Hatate assist, and Zeki Amdouni made it 2-0 six minutes later. Hatate then turned scorer in the 25th minute, converting a delivery from Lucas Pires, and Burnley led 3-0 at half-time.
Watford, 20th before the match and without a win in four, never found a route back into the game. The second half passed without a goal until the 87th minute, when Marcus Edwards added a fourth, again set up by Pires, to complete the four-goal margin.
The shot count favoured Watford by 17 to 14, and they also won six corners to two, but Burnley's finishing told the story. Andy Madley refereed a match in which neither side was shown a card.
Reo Hatate scored once and provided another assist, earning the top rating of 8.65. Lucas Pires set up two of the goals and was rated 8.45.
Burnley took only two corners to Watford's six, yet scored four times, underlining how little the hosts' territory counted for.
Burnley won 4–0 away against Watford (half-time 0–3).
Watford met Burnley in the Championship (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 10 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Vicarage Road. Referee: Andy Madley.
Team pages: Watford · Burnley · Championship
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Jacob Bruun Larsen (assist: Reo Hatate) — 0–1 · Watch Jacob Bruun Larsen's goal video (13')
- 19' Goal: Zeki Amdouni — 0–2 · Watch Zeki Amdouni's goal video (19')
- 25' Goal: Reo Hatate (assist: Lucas Pires) — 0–3 · Watch Reo Hatate's goal video (25')
- 87' Goal: Marcus Edwards (assist: Lucas Pires) — 0–4
Starting line-ups
Watford (4-2-3-1)
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Watford 22%, the draw 28%, Burnley 50%. It finished Watford 0–4 Burnley.
Burnley's rating gap, but the draw is in play — Burnley are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and a weak Championship home advantage on top gives Burnley the lean. The draw at 28% is helped by a draw-heavy league.
Why Burnley at 50%?
Burnley sit 167 points higher on our strength rating — 1291 to 1458. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,670 such games. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (27.0% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,451 games vs 44.6% across all 101,016 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 33–27–40.
Why only 50%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 50% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Watford at 22%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Watford win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,284. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Burnley have shed 95 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,577 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Burnley are 1 game into a new manager (N. Hayen), appointed 21 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Watford vs Burnley final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jacob Bruun Larsen's goal against Watford (13').
- Watch Zeki Amdouni's goal against Watford (19').
- Watch Reo Hatate's goal against Watford (25').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Watford 0–4 Burnley. Explore more on the Watford and Burnley team pages or the Championship page.