HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow1 clip- 16′Blackburn, yellow card:Foul
- 27′Wrexham, yellow card:Foul
- 44′Blackburn, goal:1–0
- 45′Wrexham, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 64′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 64′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 65′Blackburn, yellow card:Foul
- 72′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 78′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 78′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 78′Wrexham, substitution:off
- 79′Blackburn, goal:2–0assist
- 80′Blackburn, yellow card:
- 89′Blackburn, substitution:off
- 89′Blackburn, substitution:off
- Full-time2 – 0
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Blackburn
Wrexham
Match report
Guðjohnsen scores twice as Blackburn beat Wrexham at Ewood Park
Blackburn beat Wrexham 2-0 at Ewood Park on Championship matchday 12, with Andri Guðjohnsen scoring both goals. The result lifted the hosts from 12th place to 10th, while Wrexham, who had started the day 14th, ended it 17th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless until shortly before the interval, when Guðjohnsen put Blackburn in front in the 44th minute. Wrexham, who held 56% of possession, were unable to find a way back before half-time and went in a goal down.
Guðjohnsen sealed the points in the 79th minute, converting after Todd Cantwell supplied the assist to make it 2-0. Wrexham had pressed for an opening, finishing with 23 shots to Blackburn's 16, but only one of them was on target.
Blackburn next travel to Swansea in the Championship on Saturday, 31 October. Wrexham are also away in the Championship the day before, at Sheffield Utd on Friday, 30 October.
Guðjohnsen scored both of Blackburn's goals and earned a rating of 8.92, the highest of any player on the pitch. Cantwell, who set up the second, was next on 7.7.
Wrexham had 23 shots to Blackburn's 16, yet only one of them was on target, against five for the hosts.
Blackburn beat Wrexham 2–0 (half-time 1–0).
Blackburn met Wrexham in the Championship (Regular Season - 12). Kick-off was Saturday, 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Ewood Park. Referee: Matthew Corlett.
Team pages: Blackburn · Wrexham · Championship
Key moments
- 44' Goal: Andri Guðjohnsen — 1–0 · Watch Andri Guðjohnsen's goal video (44')
- 79' Goal: Andri Guðjohnsen (assist: Todd Cantwell) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Blackburn 39%, the draw 27%, Wrexham 34%. It finished Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham.
Home advantage edges Blackburn past stronger Wrexham — Wrexham sit 41 points higher on our strength rating, but Blackburn's usual home advantage, helped by Wrexham's recent scoring above their chances cooling off, gives Blackburn a slight lean at 39% to 34%. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size, with the finishing streaks pulling it down to 27% despite the Championship's usual draw rate lifting it.
Why Blackburn at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Wrexham sit 41 points higher on our strength rating — 1449 to 1408. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 11,084 such games. Wrexham scored +0.30 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.5% of 1,625 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 39%?
Because Wrexham are the stronger side on our strength rating. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,488 games vs 44.6% across all 107,859 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Blackburn scored +0.49 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.7% of 1,643 games, vs 27.8% against normal finishing.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 27,159. The cool-off factor takes 2.2 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Yuki Ohashi and Adam Forshaw, rotation players. Doubtful: Ryoya Morishita, a star player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team. Out: Josh Windass and Max Cleworth, rotation players. Doubtful: George Thomason, an important player.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Blackburn vs Wrexham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Blackburn 2–0 Wrexham. Explore more on the Blackburn and Wrexham team pages or the Championship page.