Almeria vs 20.09.26 16:302 – 0Full Time
Celta de Vigo II — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Almeria race into early lead to see off Celta de Vigo II
Almeria beat Celta de Vigo II 2-0 at UD Almería Stadium in a Segunda División fixture from the sixth round of the regular season, moving into fourth place in the table while their opponents remain down in 15th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The home side settled the contest inside the opening 18 minutes. Nico Melamed opened the scoring in the sixth minute, finishing off an assist from Javi Muñoz, before Muñoz turned provider into scorer himself, converting a Marcos Luna assist in the 18th minute to make it 2-0. Almeria held that advantage through to half-time and saw out the second period without further goals from either side.
Almeria controlled proceedings with 51 per cent of possession and a clear edge in the final third, firing 16 shots to Celta de Vigo II's 12 and putting six on target compared to just one for the visitors. Celta de Vigo II did win more corners, five to Almeria's two, but could not translate that pressure into a breakthrough, while a single yellow card for the away side was the only blemish on an otherwise clean disciplinary record for both teams.
Javi Muñoz was central to both goals, scoring one and setting up the other, and finished with the highest rating on the pitch at 8.92.
Almeria's six shots on target to Celta de Vigo II's one underlined how much more incisive the home side were in front of goal.
Almeria beat Celta de Vigo II 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
Almeria met Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 6). Kick-off was Sunday, 20 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at UD Almería Stadium. Referee: Rafael Sanchez Lopez.
Team pages: Almeria · Celta de Vigo II · Segunda División
Key moments
- 6' Goal: Nico Melamed (assist: Javi Muñoz) — 1–0
- 18' Goal: Javi Muñoz (assist: Marcos Luna) — 2–0
Starting line-ups
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Celta de Vigo II (3-4-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Almeria 47%, the draw 30%, Celta de Vigo II 23%. It finished Almeria 2–0 Celta de Vigo II.
Almeria's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Almeria are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Almeria's 47%. The draw at 30% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Almeria at 47%?
Almeria sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1627 to 1569. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,491 such games.
Why only 47%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Almeria's column. Across 11,218 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Celta de Vigo II win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,886. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Celta de Vigo II are newly promoted — game 6 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Almeria 2–0 Celta de Vigo II. Explore more on the Almeria and Celta de Vigo II team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Almeria beat Celta de Vigo II 2–0 (half-time 2–0).
›Who scored in Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II?
Nico Melamed (6') for Almeria; Javi Muñoz (18') for Almeria.
›Where can I watch Almeria vs Celta de Vigo II highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Almeria 2–0 Celta de Vigo II are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.