Valladolid vs Eldense — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 23′Valladolid, goal:1–0assist
- 30′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 34′Eldense, yellow card:Dissent
- 41′Eldense, goal:1–1assist
- 45+1′Eldense, goal:1–2assist
- 45+5′Valladolid, yellow card:Argument
- 45+5′Eldense, yellow card:Argument
- Half-time1 – 2
- 57′Valladolid, yellow card:Dissent
- 62′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- 64′Eldense, substitution:off
- 64′Eldense, substitution:off
- 66′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 66′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 72′Valladolid, red card:Foul
- 73′Eldense, substitution:off
- 76′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 76′Valladolid, substitution:off
- 78′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- 81′Eldense, substitution:off
- 81′Eldense, substitution:off
- 82′Valladolid, yellow card:Dissent
- 83′Valladolid, goal:2–2assist
- 90+5′Eldense, goal:2–3assist
- Full-time2 – 3
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Valladolid
Eldense
Match report
Eldense snatch 3-2 win at Valladolid with 90+5 goal
Eldense won 3-2 at Valladolid in a Segunda División matchday 10 game at the Estadio José Zorrilla, M. Carmona scoring the decisive goal in the 90+5 minute. The result lifted the visitors from 15th to 11th in the table, while Valladolid slipped from 11th to 12th.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Valladolid went ahead in the 23rd minute when Adrián Arnu finished from a Julien Ponceau assist. Eldense answered before the break, Jorge Rastrojo equalising in the 41st minute from a Javi Martínez delivery, and Aingeru Olabarrieta turning the match around in first-half stoppage time (45+1) with Ramón Vila providing the pass.
Víctor Fernández was sent off for Valladolid in the 72nd minute with his side 2-1 down, yet the hosts levelled in the 83rd minute through Victor Barberá, set up by Tai Abed. Olabarrieta then created the winner, supplying Carmona at 90+5. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Eldense a 30% chance of winning. Valladolid travel to Granada CF on Friday 23 October, and Eldense visit Albacete in the Segunda División on Sunday 25 October.
Olabarrieta scored once and assisted once, including the pass for Carmona's late winner, and earned the top rating of the match at 8.5. Arnu, who opened the scoring for Valladolid, was rated 7.7.
Valladolid won the corner count 13 to 2 and had 56% of the possession, but still lost.
Eldense won 3–2 away against Valladolid (half-time 1–2).
Valladolid met Eldense in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 16:30 UTC at Estadio José Zorrilla. Referee: José Sánchez.
Team pages: Valladolid · Eldense · Segunda División
Key moments
- 23' Goal: Adrián Arnu (assist: Julien Ponceau) — 1–0
- 41' Goal: Jorge Rastrojo (assist: Javi Martínez) — 1–1
- 45+1' Goal: Aingeru Olabarrieta (assist: Ramón Vila) — 1–2
- 72' Red card: Víctor Fernández
- 83' Goal: Victor Barberá (assist: Tai Abed) — 2–2
- 90+5' Goal: M. Carmona (assist: Aingeru Olabarrieta) — 2–3
Starting line-ups
Valladolid (4-1-3-2)
Eldense (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Valladolid 42%, the draw 28%, Eldense 30%. It finished Valladolid 2–3 Eldense.
Home advantage gives Valladolid a slight lean — With almost nothing between them on our strength rating, 1425 to 1426, it is the usual home advantage that puts Valladolid in front at 42%, while that tiny rating edge leans towards Eldense. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 27.1% between sides this level and nudged up because both teams' recent games average 2.5 goals.
Why Valladolid in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1425 to 1426. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,848 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Eldense at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Valladolid come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Eldense are newly promoted — game 10 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides are said to struggle, but our rating already carries most of it: across 3,012 first-ten games since 2016 they won 26.8% where the rating expected 28.1% — inside the noise band, below it in six of the ten full seasons we hold and about level last season. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Valladolid vs Eldense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Valladolid 2–3 Eldense. Explore more on the Valladolid and Eldense team pages or the Segunda División page.