AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 20′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Persistent infringement
- 22′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Foul
- 23′Oviedo, goal:0–1assist
- 25′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- 43′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Dissent
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 53′AD Ceuta FC, VAR review:Penalty cancelled
- 56′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:José Juan Romero GilDissent
- 59′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 59′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 59′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 61′Oviedo, goal:0–2
- 71′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 71′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:off
- 74′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 81′AD Ceuta FC, substitution:Abraham Bueno Espinosaoff
- 83′AD Ceuta FC, goal:1–2
- 84′Oviedo, substitution:off
- 90′AD Ceuta FC, yellow card:Dissent
- 90+6′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- 90+7′Oviedo, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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AD Ceuta FC
Oviedo
Match report
Oviedo beat AD Ceuta FC 2-1 to climb to sixth in Segunda División
Oviedo won 2-1 away to AD Ceuta FC at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube in Segunda División matchday 10. The visitors took a first-half lead and added a second after the interval, leaving the hosts with only a late consolation. The result lifted Oviedo from ninth to sixth, while Ceuta stayed 21st on five points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
S. Rodriguez opened the scoring in the 23rd minute, finishing from David Jiménez's assist to put Oviedo 1-0 ahead, which was the score at half-time. Carlos Domínguez doubled the lead in the 61st minute, and Ceuta's task looked considerable at 2-0 down.
Alejandro Camacho Ramírez pulled one back in the 83rd minute to set up a tense finish, but Oviedo held on. Ceuta dominated territory, with 15 corners to 2 and 28 shots to 17, yet Oviedo had more attempts on target, nine to seven. Oviedo travel to Almeria on Saturday 24 October in Segunda División, and Ceuta visit Cadiz the following day.
S. Rodriguez scored the opening goal and was the top-rated player on the pitch with 8.09. Domínguez, who added the second, was rated 7.54, while Ceuta's Pedro López earned 7.75 in defeat.
Ceuta forced 15 corners to Oviedo's 2 but still lost, with Oviedo putting nine shots on target to the hosts' seven.
Oviedo won 2–1 away against AD Ceuta FC (half-time 0–1).
AD Ceuta FC met Oviedo in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Sunday, 18 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. Referee: J. Guzman.
Team pages: AD Ceuta FC · Oviedo · Segunda División
Key moments
- 23' Goal: S. Rodriguez (assist: David Jiménez) — 0–1
- 61' Goal: Carlos Domínguez — 0–2
- 83' Goal: Alejandro Camacho Ramírez — 1–2
Starting line-ups
AD Ceuta FC (4-2-3-1)
Oviedo (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AD Ceuta FC 30%, the draw 28%, Oviedo 42%. It finished AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Oviedo.
Oviedo's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Oviedo sit 135 points higher on our strength rating, 1527 to 1392, and they have been scoring fewer goals than their chances deserved, a cold streak that has tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 28%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with a typical scoring level nudging it up and that finishing streak nudging it down.
Why Oviedo at 42%?
Oviedo sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1527 to 1392. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.9% of 13,861 such games. Oviedo sit -0.44 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.7% of 2,538 such games where the class table expected 35.9%. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–30–36.
Why only 42%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 42% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and AD Ceuta FC at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,356. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
AD Ceuta FC come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AD Ceuta FC vs Oviedo final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Oviedo. Explore more on the AD Ceuta FC and Oviedo team pages or the Segunda División page.

