Real Sociedad II vs Almeria — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 23′Almeria, goal:0–1assist
- 30′Almeria, substitution:off
- 34′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 37′Almeria, yellow card:Foul
- 38′Almeria, goal:0–2
- Half-time0 – 2
- 49′Real Sociedad II, yellow card:Foul
- 51′Almeria, VAR review:Penalty confirmed
- 54′Almeria, penalty goal:0–3Penalty
- 58′Real Sociedad II, goal:1–3assist
- 68′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 68′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 68′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 74′Almeria, substitution:off
- 74′Almeria, substitution:off
- 81′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 86′Almeria, substitution:off
- 86′Almeria, substitution:off
- 88′Real Sociedad II, substitution:off
- 90′Real Sociedad II, goal:2–3
- 90′Almeria, own goal:2–4Own goal
- Full-time2 – 4
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Real Sociedad II
Almeria
Match report
Almeria extend winning run with 4-2 victory at Real Sociedad II
Almeria won 4-2 at Real Sociedad II in Segunda División matchday 10 at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta, a result that stretched their winning run to seven games in a row. The leaders had been three goals clear before the hosts, who have now lost five games in a row, rallied late on.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Brian Cipenga opened the scoring in the 23rd minute from a Javi Muñoz assist, and Miguel de la Fuente doubled the lead in the 38th, leaving Almeria 2-0 up at the break. Sergio Arribas converted a penalty in the 54th minute to make it 3-0.
Real Sociedad II pulled one back in the 58th minute when Lander Astiazarán finished from a Dani Díaz assist. Arkaitz Mariezkurrena made it 2-3 in the 90+5 minute, but a Rupérez own goal in the 90+6 minute sealed Almeria's win.
The result left Almeria top on 24 points from 10 games, while Real Sociedad II stayed 19th on 8 points. Both sides play on Saturday 24 October: Almeria host Oviedo and Real Sociedad II travel to Las Palmas, each in the Segunda División.
Lander Astiazarán scored the hosts' first goal and earned the top rating in the match at 7.75. Andrés Fernández of Almeria followed on 7.73.
Real Sociedad II had 21 shots to Almeria's 7, yet still finished two goals short.
Almeria won 4–2 away against Real Sociedad II (half-time 0–2).
Real Sociedad II met Almeria in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Estadio Zubieta. Referee: A. Ojaos.
Team pages: Real Sociedad II · Almeria · Segunda División
Key moments
- 23' Goal: Brian Cipenga (assist: Javi Muñoz) — 0–1
- 38' Goal: Miguel de la Fuente — 0–2
- 54' Goal (penalty): Sergio Arribas — 0–3
- 58' Goal: Lander Astiazarán (assist: Dani Díaz) — 1–3
- 90' Goal: Arkaitz Mariezkurrena — 2–3
- 90' Goal (own goal): Iñaki Rupérez — 2–4
Starting line-ups
Real Sociedad II (4-3-3)
Almeria (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Real Sociedad II 24%, the draw 24%, Almeria 52%. It finished Real Sociedad II 2–4 Almeria.
Almeria's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Almeria 52% mainly because they sit 209 points higher on our strength rating, 1590 to 1381, which outweighs the usual home advantage Real Sociedad II start with. The draw sits at 24%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both teams' own recent games average 2.8 goals.
Why Almeria at 52%?
Almeria sit 209 points higher on our strength rating — 1590 to 1381. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,689 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 23–25–52.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Real Sociedad II at 24%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198.
What did we measure but not count?
Almeria have averaged 14 percentage points more possession than Real Sociedad II in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Almeria won 3 of the last 4 meetings with Real Sociedad II. The record is 3 wins for Almeria, 1 draw and 0 wins for Real Sociedad II. These were 4 Segunda División games played between 21 October 2021 and 29 March 2026. Latest meeting: 29 March 2026 — Almeria 5–1 Real Sociedad II. In 5,653 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.1%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Real Sociedad II vs Almeria final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Real Sociedad II 2–4 Almeria. Explore more on the Real Sociedad II and Almeria team pages or the Segunda División page.