Match report
PAU make numerical advantage count to see off 10-man Dunkerque
PAU beat Dunkerque 2-0 at Nouste Camp in a Ligue 2 fixture from matchday seven, with the contest turning early when Victor Mayela was sent off for the visitors after just 11 minutes. Despite the extra man, the hosts had to wait until the second half to make the advantage tell.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jessy Benet converted a penalty four minutes after the restart to put PAU ahead, and the home side controlled the game from there without adding to the scoreline for a long spell. It was not until the 88th minute that Abdoulaye Mbaye, assisted by Lorenzo Rajot, added a second to seal the points.
PAU dominated possession throughout and translated that control into a heavy volume of chances, finishing with far more efforts and shots on target than Dunkerque managed across the match. The result lifts PAU to 11th in the table on eight points from seven games, level on points with Dunkerque, who sit 12th.
Gaëtan Paquiez earned the highest rating on the pitch at 7.91, while Benet also impressed after converting the penalty that broke the deadlock.
PAU's dominance was clear in the shot count, outshooting Dunkerque 22 to 7 over the course of the match.
PAU beat Dunkerque 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
PAU met Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Nouste Camp. Referee: Brendan Roffet.
Key moments
- 11' Red card: Victor Mayela
- 49' Goal (penalty): Jessy Benet — 1–0 · Watch Jessy Benet's goal video (49')
- 88' Goal: Abdoulaye Mbaye (assist: Lorenzo Rajot) — 2–0 · Watch Abdoulaye Mbaye's goal video (88')
Starting line-ups
PAU (5-3-2)
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave PAU 31%, the draw 26%, Dunkerque 43%. It finished PAU 2–0 Dunkerque.
Dunkerque's rating edge outweighs PAU's home ground — Dunkerque are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Dunkerque the lean. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Dunkerque at 43%?
Dunkerque sit 135 points higher on our strength rating — 1432 to 1567. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,187 such games. Dunkerque hold 6 more possession points (55 to 49 in recent games) across a 135-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,690 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 38–21–41.
Why only 43%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 43% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and PAU at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,234. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
PAU come into this after a busy window — 20 arrivals, 18 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Dunkerque come into this after a busy window — 14 arrivals, 19 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the PAU vs Dunkerque final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jessy Benet's goal against Dunkerque (49').
- Watch Abdoulaye Mbaye's goal against Dunkerque (88').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from PAU 2–0 Dunkerque. Explore more on the PAU and Dunkerque team pages or the Ligue 2 page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of PAU vs Dunkerque?
PAU beat Dunkerque 2–0 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in PAU vs Dunkerque?
Jessy Benet (49') (penalty) for PAU; Abdoulaye Mbaye (88') for PAU.
›Where can I watch PAU vs Dunkerque highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from PAU 2–0 Dunkerque are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between PAU and Dunkerque?
PAU and Dunkerque have met 10 times — 1 win for PAU, 6 wins for Dunkerque and 3 draws.