Match report
Nancy edge seven-goal thriller to win 4-3 at Rodez
Nancy won 4-3 away at Rodez in Ligue 2 on matchday 7 at Stade Paul Lignon, a match that produced seven goals and saw the lead change hands three times. Ilyes Housni put the visitors ahead in the fourth minute, assisted by Pape Meïssa Ba, but Rodez were level three minutes later when Yannis Nahounou turned the ball into his own net.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Raphael Lipinski gave Rodez a 2-1 lead in the 20th minute from Antonin Cartillier's assist, and that was how the first half finished. Nancy needed only two minutes of the second half to reply, Pape Meïssa Ba converting Nordine Kandil's delivery in the 47th minute, and Nehemiah Fernandez-Veliz made it 3-2 to the visitors in the 51st, again created by Kandil.
E. Jean-Lambert levelled at 3-3 in the 59th minute from Mathis Touho's assist, but Pape Meïssa Ba struck his second of the afternoon in the 74th to settle it. The result lifted Nancy from tenth to fifth and left Rodez 14th, with the hosts having now lost 3 games in a row.
Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Nancy a 14% chance of winning. Rodez are next in action in the league, though the fixture details were not available.
Pape Meïssa Ba scored twice and set up Housni's opener, earning a rating of 9.48. Nordine Kandil supplied two assists in the space of four minutes after the break.
Nancy had 24 shots to Rodez's 10, with the visitors holding 60% of possession.
Nancy won 4–3 away against Rodez (half-time 2–1).
Rodez met Nancy in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Friday, 18 September 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade Paul Lignon. Referee: Gael Angoula.
Key moments
- 4' Goal: Ilyes Housni (assist: Pape Meïssa Ba) — 0–1 · Watch Ilyes Housni's goal video (4')
- 7' Goal (own goal): Yannis Nahounou — 1–1 · Watch Yannis Nahounou's goal video (7')
- 20' Goal: Raphael Lipinski (assist: Antonin Cartillier) — 2–1 · Watch Raphael Lipinski's goal video (20')
- 47' Goal: Pape Meïssa Ba (assist: Nordine Kandil) — 2–2 · Watch Pape Meïssa Ba's goal video (47')
- 51' Goal: Nehemiah Fernandez (assist: Nordine Kandil) — 2–3 · Watch Nehemiah Fernandez's goal video (51')
- 59' Goal: E. Jean-Lambert (assist: Mathis Touho) — 3–3 · Watch E. Jean-Lambert's goal video (59')
- 74' Goal: Pape Meïssa Ba — 3–4 · Watch Pape Meïssa Ba's goal video (74')
Starting line-ups
Rodez (4-4-2)
Nancy (4-4-2)
- 1 Enzo Basilio
- 44 Enzo Tacafred
- 21 Elydjah Mendy
- 77 Yannis Nahounou
- 4 Nehemiah Fernandez
- 12 El Hadari
- 8 Walid Bouabdelli
- 6 Kouroufia Kebe
- 70 Nordine Kandil
- 5 Pape Meïssa Ba
- 9 Ilyes Housni
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Rodez 67%, the draw 19%, Nancy 14%. It finished Rodez 3–4 Nancy.
Rodez's rating gap decides it — Rodez are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Rodez's 67%. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Rodez at 67%?
Rodez sit 204 points higher on our strength rating — 1593 to 1388. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.1% of 6,003 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 65–18–17.
Why only 67%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 67% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 19% and Nancy at 14%.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,109.
What did we measure but not count?
Nancy come into this after a busy window — 13 arrivals and 14 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). Nancy are 5 games into a new manager (O. Tanchot), appointed 34 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Rodez vs Nancy final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ilyes Housni's goal against Rodez (4').
- Watch Yannis Nahounou's own goal video (7').
- Watch Raphael Lipinski's goal against Nancy (20').
- Watch Pape Meïssa Ba's goal against Rodez (47').
- Watch Nehemiah Fernandez's goal against Rodez (51').
- Watch E. Jean-Lambert's goal against Nancy (59').
- Watch Pape Meïssa Ba's goal against Rodez (74').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Rodez 3–4 Nancy. Explore more on the Rodez and Nancy team pages or the Ligue 2 page.