Match report
Dunkerque come from behind to beat Nantes 3-2 in Ligue 2
Dunkerque won 3-2 at Nantes in a Ligue 2 matchday-nine fixture at the Stade de la Beaujoire, scoring three times after falling behind. Nantes had the better of the early exchanges and went ahead in the 29th minute, when Kelvin Amian scored from a Wilitty Younoussa assist to make it 1-0.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The lead lasted only nine minutes. Egor Prutsev levelled in the 38th minute, and Gaëtan Robail put Dunkerque in front in the 43rd, so the visitors went into the interval 2-1 up. Robail added a third in the 59th minute, set up by Souleymane Keita, to open a two-goal gap.
Nantes pressed for a way back and Ryad Hachem scored in the 90th minute to make it 3-2, but there was no time for an equaliser. Oddsivio's pre-match forecast had given Dunkerque a 23% chance of winning. Dunkerque, who moved up to 10th on 11 points, are at home to Metz on Friday in Ligue 2, while 14th-placed Nantes travel to Saint Etienne the next day.
Gaëtan Robail scored twice for Dunkerque, in the 43rd and 59th minutes, and was the highest-rated player on the pitch with 8.37. Ryad Hachem's late goal earned Nantes' best rating at 7.44.
Nantes had 60% of the possession but lost, with Dunkerque taking their chances on a day when both sides managed four shots on target.
Dunkerque won 3–2 away against Nantes (half-time 1–2).
Nantes met Dunkerque in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC at Stade de la Beaujoire. Referee: Benoît Millot.
Key moments
- 29' Goal: Kelvin Amian (assist: Wilitty Younoussa) — 1–0
- 38' Goal: Egor Prutsev — 1–1
- 43' Goal: Gaëtan Robail — 1–2
- 59' Goal: Gaëtan Robail (assist: Souleymane Keita) — 1–3
- 90' Goal: Ryad Hachem — 2–3
Starting line-ups
Nantes (3-4-3)
Dunkerque (4-2-3-1)
- 73 Moha Ramos
- 30 Abner
- 2 Ousmane Touré
- 26 Opa Sanganté (c)
- 27 Allan Linguet
- 18 Théna Massock
- 6 Jordan Morel
- 11 Egor Prutsev
- 10 Adrien Lebeau
- 19 Souleymane Keita
- 9 Gaëtan Robail
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Nantes 49%, the draw 28%, Dunkerque 23%. It finished Nantes 2–3 Dunkerque.
Nantes edge it on our strength rating — Nantes sit 67 points higher on our strength rating, 1513 to 1446, and with the usual home advantage on top we give them 49% to Dunkerque's 23%. The draw starts near 27%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and rises to 28% because both sides' recent games average 2.6 goals.
Why Nantes at 49%?
Nantes sit 67 points higher on our strength rating — 1513 to 1446. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.3% of 10,400 such games.
Why only 49%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 49% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 28% and Dunkerque at 23%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Dunkerque win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.5% of 28,340. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Nantes sit -0.74 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Dunkerque have shed 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,610 such games vs 33.4% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Nantes vs Dunkerque final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Nantes 2–3 Dunkerque. Explore more on the Nantes and Dunkerque team pages or the Ligue 2 page.