RED Star FC 93 vs 17.10.26 18:000 – 1Full Time
Saint Etienne — Ligue 2: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Saint Etienne edge RED Star FC 93 to stretch Ligue 2 lead
Saint Etienne won 1-0 away to RED Star FC 93 at the Stade de Paris on Ligue 2 matchday nine, a result that ended the hosts' run of four wins in a row. Irvin Cardona scored the only goal of the match in the 13th minute, and the visitors protected that lead through the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The goal came from Jakob Breum's assist, with Cardona finishing to put the leaders 1-0 up. The scoreline did not change after that, and it was still 1-0 at the interval.
RED Star had the larger share of the ball, with 58 per cent possession to 42, but Saint Etienne created the better chances, with nine shots to five and three on target to one. The visitors also had five corners to the hosts' four. The result lifted Saint Etienne to 22 points, five clear of third-placed RED Star on 17. Both sides play away next on Saturday 24 October, RED Star at Montpellier and Saint Etienne at home to Nantes.
Cardona scored the decisive goal and was the highest-rated performer, with 7.85. Breum, who provided the assist for it, followed on 7.7.
Saint Etienne managed three shots on target to RED Star's one despite having 42 per cent of the possession.
Saint Etienne won 1–0 away against RED Star FC 93 (half-time 0–1).
RED Star FC 93 met Saint Etienne in the Ligue 2 (Regular Season - 9). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 18:00 UTC at Stade de Paris. Referee: Antoine Valnet.
Team pages: RED Star FC 93 · Saint Etienne · Ligue 2
Key moments
- 13' Goal: Irvin Cardona (assist: Jakob Breum) — 0–1
Starting line-ups
RED Star FC 93 (4-2-3-1)
Saint Etienne (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave RED Star FC 93 42%, the draw 26%, Saint Etienne 32%. It finished RED Star FC 93 0–1 Saint Etienne.
Home advantage and a cooling streak favour RED Star — Saint Etienne sit 74 points higher on our strength rating, but RED Star FC 93 get the usual home advantage, and Saint Etienne's recent scoring above their chances is the kind of hot streak that tends to cool, so we give RED Star 42%. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size and slips to 26%, mainly because of that finishing streak.
Why RED Star FC 93 at 42%?
Home ground, against the rating. Saint Etienne sit 74 points higher on our strength rating — 1596 to 1522. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,394 such games. Saint Etienne scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.2% of 1,469 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 42%?
Because Saint Etienne are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 26% and Saint Etienne at 32%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. The cool-off factor takes 2.5 points off the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 2 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from RED Star FC 93 0–1 Saint Etienne. Explore more on the RED Star FC 93 and Saint Etienne team pages or the Ligue 2 page.