FC Cincinnati vs CF Pachuca — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 7′CF Pachuca, goal:0–1assist
- 15′CF Pachuca, yellow card:Foul
- 18′FC Cincinnati, goal:1–1assist
- 30′CF Pachuca, yellow card:Foul
- 39′FC Cincinnati, goal:2–1assist
- Half-time2 – 1
- 51′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:Foul
- 58′CF Pachuca, substitution:off
- 58′CF Pachuca, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 64′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 67′CF Pachuca, substitution:off
- 67′CF Pachuca, substitution:off
- 68′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:Foul
- 70′FC Cincinnati, goal:3–1assist
- 76′FC Cincinnati, yellow card:Foul
- 78′CF Pachuca, substitution:off
- 82′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 82′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- 90′FC Cincinnati, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
FC Cincinnati
CF Pachuca
Match report
Cincinnati fight back to sink Pachuca in Leagues Cup group game
FC Cincinnati beat CF Pachuca 3-1 in a Leagues Cup Group Stage fixture at TQL Stadium, recovering from an early setback to seize control before half-time and add a late fourth-quarter strike to seal the points.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Pachuca made the perfect start when A. Alcaraz converted an Oussama Idrissi assist in the seventh minute to put the away side ahead. Cincinnati responded quickly, with Evander levelling in the 18th minute after being set up by Gerardo Valenzuela, and Pavel Bucha turned the game around in the 39th minute, finishing off a Bryan Josías Ramírez León assist to make it 2-1 at the break.
The second half brought no further goals until the 70th minute, when Kenji Mboma Dem added a third for the hosts from an Ender Echenique assist, putting the result beyond doubt. Cincinnati saw out the remainder without conceding again, closing out a 3-1 win despite facing considerably more shots than they managed themselves.
Pachuca had far the greater share of attempts on goal, firing in 22 shots and seven on target compared with Cincinnati's nine shots and three on target, yet it was the hosts who made their overall control of possession, at 59 percent, count with clinical finishing at key moments.
Evander scored Cincinnati's equaliser and finished with a match-best rating of 7.9, while Pavel Bucha's goal just before half-time proved decisive in turning the contest around.
Pachuca outshot Cincinnati by a wide margin, 22 attempts to nine, yet came away with just a single goal to show for it.
FC Cincinnati beat CF Pachuca 3–1 (half-time 2–1).
FC Cincinnati met CF Pachuca in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Tuesday, 4 August 2026, 23:45 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Oshane Nation.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · CF Pachuca · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 7' Goal: Adrián Alcaraz (assist: Oussama Idrissi) — 0–1
- 18' Goal: Evander (assist: Gerardo Valenzuela) — 1–1
- 39' Goal: Pavel Bucha (assist: Bryan Ramírez) — 2–1
- 70' Goal: Kenji Mboma Dem (assist: Ender Echenique) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
FC Cincinnati (3-4-1-2)
- 13 Evan Louro
- 88 A. Chirila
- 21 Matt Miazga
- 11 Samuel Gidi
- 29 Bryan Ramírez
- 27 Brian Anunga
- 22 Gerardo Valenzuela
- 20 Pavel Bucha
- 10 Evander (c)
- 99 Ayoub Jabbari
- 16 Tom Barlow
CF Pachuca (4-4-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Cincinnati 56%, the draw 23%, CF Pachuca 21%. It finished FC Cincinnati 3–1 CF Pachuca.
FC Cincinnati's rating edge carries it — FC Cincinnati are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of FC Cincinnati's 56%. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why FC Cincinnati at 56%?
FC Cincinnati sit 136 points higher on our strength rating — 1630 to 1494. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,635 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 54–26–20.
Why only 56%?
CF Pachuca hold 6 more possession points (53 to 47 in recent games) across a 136-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,555 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 4.0 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,834. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati scored +0.99 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,732 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. FC Cincinnati have gained 71 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,098 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Cincinnati vs CF Pachuca final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and CF Pachuca team pages or the Leagues Cup page.