Monterrey vs Orlando City SC — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 6′Monterrey, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed - offside
- 21′Monterrey, yellow card:
- 27′Orlando City SC, goal:0–1assist
- 34′Monterrey, yellow card:
- 34′Monterrey, yellow card:
- 45+3′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- Half-time0 – 1
- 51′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- 53′Monterrey, yellow card:
- 57′Monterrey, yellow card:
- 57′Orlando City SC, penalty goal:0–2Penalty
- 61′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 61′Monterrey, substitution:off
- 61′Monterrey, substitution:off
- 61′Monterrey, substitution:off
- 63′Monterrey, substitution:off
- 65′Monterrey, substitution:off
- 69′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 69′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- 73′Orlando City SC, yellow card:
- 84′Monterrey, goal disallowed:Goal Disallowed - offside
- 90′Monterrey, goal:1–2assist
- 90+3′Orlando City SC, substitution:off
- Full-time1 – 2
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assists
Player Ratings
Monterrey
Orlando City SC
Match report
Orlando City hold off late Monterrey rally in Leagues Cup
Orlando City beat Monterrey 2-1 in the Leagues Cup Group Stage, a result built on two second-half strikes that survived a stoppage-time scare. Antoine Griezmann opened the scoring in the 27th minute, finishing off a Tyrese Spicer assist to give the away side a 1-0 lead at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Spicer doubled Orlando's advantage from the penalty spot in the 57th minute, converting to make it 2-0 and putting the visitors firmly in control. Monterrey, who received a red card during the match, struggled to find a way back into the contest despite pushing numbers forward as the game wore on.
The hosts finally got a goal when Hugo Cuypers converted a Lucas Ocampos assist deep into stoppage time, in the 90+9th minute, cutting the deficit to 2-1. It proved too late to change the outcome, and Orlando City held on for the win despite finishing with a man advantage after Monterrey's dismissal.
Griezmann scored the opener and finished with a 7.9 rating, while Spicer matched him on the same score after netting a penalty and setting up the first goal.
Monterrey's red card stood out as the defining disciplinary moment of a match in which both sides otherwise committed an identical eight fouls.
Orlando City SC won 2–1 away against Monterrey (half-time 0–1).
Monterrey met Orlando City SC in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Wednesday, 5 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Inter&Co Stadium. Referee: Adonai Escobedo González.
Team pages: Monterrey · Orlando City SC · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 27' Goal: Antoine Griezmann (assist: Tyrese Spicer) — 0–1
- 57' Goal (penalty): Tyrese Spicer — 0–2
- 90' Goal: Hugo Cuypers (assist: Lucas Ocampos) — 1–2
Starting line-ups
Monterrey (4-2-3-1)
Orlando City SC (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Monterrey 28%, the draw 25%, Orlando City SC 47%. It finished Monterrey 1–2 Orlando City SC.
Orlando City SC's rating edge on neutral ground — Orlando City SC are the stronger side on our strength rating, and neutral ground on top gives Orlando City SC the lean. The draw at 25% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Orlando City SC at 47%?
Orlando City SC sit 102 points higher on our strength rating — 1496 to 1597. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,011 such games. Leagues Cup is played on neutral grounds: Monterrey are the listed home side but get none of the usual home lift, so the class read is re-centred. On grounds we detect as neutral, listed-home sides won 44.6% of 26,816 games vs 45.2% at real homes — so a tournament game away from a side's own ground scores the class edge venue-free, as the average of the home and away reads.
Why only 47%?
Monterrey hold 10 more possession points (59 to 49 in recent games) across a 102-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,558 such games where the class table expected 41.3%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.6 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,837. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw. Neutral ground takes 1.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Orlando City SC scored +0.59 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,733 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Orlando City SC have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 46.9% of 2413 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2452 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Monterrey vs Orlando City SC final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Monterrey and Orlando City SC team pages or the Leagues Cup page.