Toluca vs Seattle Sounders — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 3′Toluca, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 61′Toluca, substitution:off
- 62′Toluca, substitution:off
- 62′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 62′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 64′Toluca, goal:2–0
- 74′Toluca, substitution:off
- 74′Toluca, substitution:off
- 76′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 76′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 86′Toluca, substitution:off
- 89′Seattle Sounders, substitution:off
- 90′Toluca, goal:3–0
- Full-time3 – 0
Lineups
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Key Stats
Top Performers
Best rated
Goals
Assist
Player Ratings
Toluca
Seattle Sounders
Match report
Toluca overwhelm Seattle Sounders with three-goal rout in Leagues Cup
Toluca beat Seattle Sounders 3-0 in a Leagues Cup Group Stage fixture, dominating from the opening minutes to record a comfortable victory. The scoreline reflected a one-sided contest in which the home side controlled possession and territory for almost the entire ninety minutes.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
J. Gallardo put Toluca ahead after just three minutes, finishing from an assist by A. Vega to settle any early nerves. The lead held at 1-0 through half-time, with Toluca content to probe patiently before Helinho doubled the advantage in the 64th minute, converting to make it 2-0 and effectively ending Seattle's hopes of a way back into the match.
Toluca completed the scoring deep into stoppage time when Federico Viñas struck in the 90+3rd minute to make it 3-0, capping a display in which the hosts registered 38 shots to Seattle's four. Gallardo's early strike proved the platform for a performance built on relentless pressure and territorial control throughout.
J. Gallardo scored the opener inside three minutes and finished the match with a rating of 9.7, the highest of any player on the pitch.
Toluca's dominance was underlined by a 68% share of possession compared with Seattle's 32%.
Toluca beat Seattle Sounders 3–0 (half-time 1–0).
Toluca met Seattle Sounders in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Thursday, 6 August 2026, 02:00 UTC at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Referee: Iván Barton.
Team pages: Toluca · Seattle Sounders · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 3' Goal: Jesús Gallardo (assist: Alexis Vega) — 1–0
- 64' Goal: Helinho — 2–0
- 90' Goal: Federico Viñas — 3–0
Starting line-ups
Toluca (4-2-3-1)
Seattle Sounders (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Toluca 27%, the draw 27%, Seattle Sounders 46%. It finished Toluca 3–0 Seattle Sounders.
Seattle Sounders' rating edge, but the draw is in play — Seattle Sounders are the stronger side on our strength rating, and neutral ground plus their cold finishing due to recover on top give Seattle Sounders the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Seattle Sounders at 46%?
Seattle Sounders sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1568 to 1626. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 32.9% of 10,481 such games. Leagues Cup is played on neutral grounds: Toluca are the listed home side but get none of the usual home lift, so the class read is re-centred. On grounds we detect as neutral, listed-home sides won 44.6% of 26,816 games vs 45.2% at real homes — so a tournament game away from a side's own ground scores the class edge venue-free, as the average of the home and away reads. Seattle Sounders sit -0.58 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.6% of 1,290 games, vs 28.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 46%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 46% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Toluca at 27%.
Why is the draw second, level with the Toluca win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,716.
What did we measure but not count?
Seattle Sounders have shed 124 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,577 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Seattle Sounders have played 3+ games in the last two weeks; their opponents haven't. Between equals, congested home sides won 46.9% of 2413 measured games and congested visitors 28.2% of 2452 — the cells disagree with each other and with the flat rest table, so schedule stays a watch item at 0 points. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Toluca vs Seattle Sounders final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Toluca and Seattle Sounders team pages or the Leagues Cup page.