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Portland Timbers vs 07.08.26 02:305 – 2Full Time
Puebla — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Portland Timbers beat Puebla 5–2 (half-time 4–1).
Portland Timbers met Puebla in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Friday, 7 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at Providence Park. Referee: Victor Rivas.
Team pages: Portland Timbers · Puebla · Leagues Cup
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portland Timbers 52%, the draw 24%, Puebla 24%. It finished Portland Timbers 5–2 Puebla.
A slight rating edge to Portland Timbers, little else — Portland Timbers are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Portland Timbers' 52%. The draw at 24% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Portland Timbers sit 60 points higher on our strength rating — 1549 to 1490. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.6% of 10,326 such games.
Portland Timbers scored +0.48 goals per game beyond chance-quality — home sides this hot gave some of it back. Opponents of hot-finishing home sides won 28.3% of 1,444 games, vs 27.9% against normal finishing.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,839. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
A 16-point possession gap between near-equal sides is unusual. Gaps this extreme are too rare to receipt — around 357 measured games, under our 300-game floor — so it's noted at 0 points. Portland Timbers have gained 66 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,103 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the Portland Timbers vs Puebla final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Portland Timbers and Puebla team pages or the Leagues Cup page.
Portland Timbers beat Puebla 5–2 (half-time 4–1).
Ariel Lassiter (5') for Portland Timbers; Eduardo Mustre (14') for Puebla; Cole Bassett (36') for Portland Timbers; David Pereira da Costa (38') for Portland Timbers; Cole Bassett (45+3') for Portland Timbers; Ariel Lassiter (56') for Portland Timbers; Emiliano Gómez (80') for Puebla.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for Portland Timbers vs Puebla; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.