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New York City FC vs 13.08.26 23:301 – 2Full Time
Necaxa — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysisMatch report
Necaxa won 2–1 away against New York City FC (half-time 1–0).
New York City FC met Necaxa in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Thursday, 13 August 2026, 23:30 UTC at Sports Illustrated Stadium. Referee: F. Morón.
Team pages: New York City FC · Necaxa · Leagues Cup
Before kick-off Sirius gave New York City FC 60%, the draw 21%, Necaxa 19%. It finished New York City FC 1–2 Necaxa.
New York City FC's rating gap decides it on neutral ground — New York City FC are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of New York City FC's 60%. The draw at 21% is lifted by neutral ground.
New York City FC sit 210 points higher on our strength rating — 1644 to 1434. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,920 such games.
Leagues Cup is played on neutral grounds: New York City FC are the listed home side but get none of the usual home lift, so the class read is re-centred. On grounds we detect as neutral, listed-home sides won 44.6% of 26,893 games vs 45.2% at real homes — so a tournament game away from a side's own ground scores the class edge venue-free, as the average of the home and away reads.
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 24,767. Neutral ground adds 2.2 points to the draw.
New York City FC scored +0.38 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,755 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Necaxa have shed 66 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,598 such games vs 34.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
On this page: the New York City FC vs Necaxa final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the New York City FC and Necaxa team pages or the Leagues Cup page.
Necaxa won 2–1 away against New York City FC (half-time 1–0).
Keaton Parks (37') for New York City FC; J. Valencia (58') for Necaxa; Juan Torres (79') for Necaxa.
This page carries the full match report, stats and lineups for New York City FC vs Necaxa; goal clips are added as soon as official highlights are available.