Portland Timbers vs Club Tijuana — Leagues Cup: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
- 19′Club Tijuana, goal:0–1assist
- 36′Club Tijuana, yellow card:Argument
- 40′Portland Timbers, goal:1–1assist
- 41′Portland Timbers, yellow card:Argument
- 45+2′Portland Timbers, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 1
- 56′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 56′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 60′Club Tijuana, substitution:off
- 60′Club Tijuana, substitution:off
- 60′Club Tijuana, substitution:Francisco Gonzálezoff
- 64′Portland Timbers, goal:2–1assist
- 66′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 66′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 76′Portland Timbers, goal:3–1assist
- 81′Portland Timbers, substitution:off
- 87′Club Tijuana, substitution:off
- 87′Club Tijuana, substitution:off
- 89′Portland Timbers, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Portland Timbers
Club Tijuana
Match report
Portland Timbers overturn early deficit to sink Club Tijuana 3-1
Portland Timbers came from behind to beat Club Tijuana 3-1 in a Leagues Cup Group Stage meeting at Providence Park. The scoreline reflected a second-half turnaround after Tijuana had taken an early lead, with Jack Cassidy's side eventually running out comfortable winners despite trailing at one stage.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mourad put Tijuana ahead in the 19th minute, finishing off an assist from Jesús Vega to make it 0-1. Portland responded before the break, with Kevin Kelsy converting a Jimer Fory pass in the 40th minute to level the score at 1-1, a scoreline that held until half-time.
The hosts took control after the interval. Antony put Portland ahead in the 64th minute, latching onto a Kelsy assist to make it 2-1, before turning provider himself for Ariel Lassiter's goal in the 76th minute, which sealed the 3-1 result. Portland dominated possession throughout, finishing with 67 percent of the ball and 16 shots to Tijuana's eight.
Antony contributed a goal and an assist, playing a hand in two of Portland's three goals and finishing with a match rating of 8.2.
Portland's dominance was underlined by a 67 to 33 percent advantage in possession over Tijuana.
Portland Timbers beat Club Tijuana 3–1 (half-time 1–1).
Portland Timbers met Club Tijuana in the Leagues Cup (Group Stage). Kick-off was Friday, 14 August 2026, 02:30 UTC at Providence Park. Referee: Ismael Cornejo.
Team pages: Portland Timbers · Club Tijuana · Leagues Cup
Key moments
- 19' Goal: Mourad (assist: Jesús Vega) — 0–1
- 40' Goal: Kevin Kelsy (assist: Jimer Fory) — 1–1
- 64' Goal: Antony (assist: Kevin Kelsy) — 2–1
- 76' Goal: Ariel Lassiter (assist: Antony) — 3–1
Starting line-ups
Portland Timbers (4-2-3-1)
- 25 Trey Muse
- 27 Jimer Fory
- 4 Kamal Miller
- 20 Finn Surman (c)
- 15 Eric Miller
- 30 José Caicedo
- 17 Cole Bassett
- 99 Kristoffer Velde
- 10 David Da Costa
- 7 Ariel Lassiter
- 19 Kevin Kelsy
Club Tijuana (4-5-1)
- 29 Salim Hernández
- 16 Jesús Vega
- 188 A. Magallon
- 12 Jackson Porozo (c)
- 18 Aaron Mejía
- 31 Yael Padilla
- 26 Aldahir Perez
- 20 Ángel Zapata
- 34 Frank Boya
- 202 Joban González
- 9 Mourad
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Portland Timbers 60%, the draw 23%, Club Tijuana 17%. It finished Portland Timbers 3–1 Club Tijuana.
Portland Timbers' rating edge carries it — Portland Timbers are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Portland Timbers a clear lead. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Portland Timbers at 60%?
Portland Timbers sit 111 points higher on our strength rating — 1549 to 1438. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.2% of 12,683 such games. Portland Timbers hold 6 more possession points (55 to 49 in recent games) across a 111-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 75–150-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,582 such games where the class table expected 41.3%. The 300 most similar past games finished 48–26–26.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Club Tijuana at 17%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 16,897. The goals environment takes 2.1 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Portland Timbers scored +0.48 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,755 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.0% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Portland Timbers have gained 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.5% of 12,137 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Portland Timbers vs Club Tijuana final score and result, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Leagues Cup fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
The full match report above covers the goals, key moments and stats. Explore more on the Portland Timbers and Club Tijuana team pages or the Leagues Cup page.

