VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow5 clips- 39′VfB Stuttgart, goal:1–0assist
- 41′1. FC Köln, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time1 – 0
- 46′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 46′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 51′VfB Stuttgart, yellow card:Foul
- 60′VfB Stuttgart, goal:2–0assist
- 70′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 70′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 75′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 75′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 75′VfB Stuttgart, goal:3–0assist
- 78′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 78′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- 81′1. FC Köln, goal:3–1
- 85′1. FC Köln, yellow card:Foul
- 86′1. FC Köln, yellow card:Foul
- 90′1. FC Köln, substitution:off
- 90′VfB Stuttgart, goal:4–1
- 90+2′VfB Stuttgart, substitution:off
- Full-time4 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
Match report
Stuttgart brush aside Köln with four-goal display
VfB Stuttgart claimed a 4-1 win over 1. FC Köln in matchday 2 of the Bundesliga, played at MHPArena. The home side controlled proceedings from early on and had the game largely settled before Köln found any response late in the second half.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bilal El Khannouss opened the scoring in the 39th minute, finishing off a Josha Vagnoman assist to send Stuttgart in ahead at half-time. The hosts extended their lead shortly after the break when Grischa Prömel converted a Maximilian Mittelstädt pass in the 60th minute, before Ermedin Demirović added a third in the 75th minute, teed up by Finn Jeltsch.
Marius Bülter pulled one back for Köln in the 81st minute, but any hope of a comeback was snuffed out almost immediately as Vagnoman struck again in the 90th minute to complete the scoring at 4-1. Stuttgart finished with 22 shots to Köln's 18 and dominated possession throughout.
Vagnoman had a hand in three of Stuttgart's four goals, scoring once and setting up El Khannouss's opener, earning the highest rating on the pitch at 8.35.
Stuttgart's 58% share of possession underlined their control over the contest from start to finish.
VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Köln 4–1 (half-time 1–0).
VfB Stuttgart met 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Friday, 4 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at MHPArena. Referee: Christian Dingert.
Team pages: VfB Stuttgart · 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 39' Goal: Bilal El Khannouss (assist: Josha Vagnoman) — 1–0 · Watch Bilal El Khannouss's goal video (39')
- 60' Goal: Grischa Prömel (assist: Maximilian Mittelstädt) — 2–0 · Watch Grischa Prömel's goal video (60')
- 75' Goal: Ermedin Demirović (assist: Finn Jeltsch) — 3–0 · Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal video (75')
- 81' Goal: Marius Bülter — 3–1 · Watch Marius Bülter's goal video (81')
- 90' Goal: Josha Vagnoman — 4–1 · Watch Josha Vagnoman's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
VfB Stuttgart (3-4-2-1)
1. FC Köln (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave VfB Stuttgart 69%, the draw 19%, 1. FC Köln 12%. It finished VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln.
VfB Stuttgart's rating gap decides it — VfB Stuttgart are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of VfB Stuttgart's 69%. The draw at 19% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why VfB Stuttgart at 69%?
VfB Stuttgart sit 257 points higher on our strength rating — 1967 to 1710. Sides with a 200–300-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 5,972 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 70–18–12.
Why only 69%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims VfB Stuttgart's column. Across 10,893 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw only 19%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 18.7%. These teams' recent games average 4.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,064. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.6 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
VfB Stuttgart average 5 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 257 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. 1. FC Köln come into this after a busy window — 31 arrivals and 27 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Bilal El Khannouss's goal against 1. FC Köln (39').
- Watch Grischa Prömel's goal against 1. FC Köln (60').
- Watch Ermedin Demirović's goal against 1. FC Köln (75').
- Watch Marius Bülter's goal against VfB Stuttgart (81').
- Watch Josha Vagnoman's goal against 1. FC Köln (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from VfB Stuttgart 4–1 1. FC Köln. Explore more on the VfB Stuttgart and 1. FC Köln team pages or the Bundesliga page.