FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
- 31′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Foul
- 35′Bayern München, yellow card:Foul
- Half-time
- 46′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 57′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 57′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 65′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 65′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 72′Bayern München, yellow card:Foul
- 73′FC Schalke 04, yellow card:Time wasting
- 74′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 74′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- 74′Bayern München, substitution:off
- 84′FC Schalke 04, substitution:off
- Full-time
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FC Schalke 04
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FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München — the facts
FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München drew 0–0 (half-time 0–0).
FC Schalke 04 met Bayern München in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 5 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Veltins Arena. Referee: Robert Schroder.
Team pages: FC Schalke 04 · Bayern München · Bundesliga
Starting line-ups
FC Schalke 04 (5-4-1)
Bayern München (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave FC Schalke 04 10%, the draw 14%, Bayern München 76%. It finished FC Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern München.
Bayern München's rating gap outweighs FC Schalke 04's home ground — Bayern München are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade on top makes it one-sided for Bayern München. The draw at 14% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Bayern München at 76%?
Bayern München sit 657 points higher on our strength rating — 1638 to 2295. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,230 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims FC Schalke 04's column. Across 10,911 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 11–11–78.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 76% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 14% and FC Schalke 04 at 10%.
Why is the draw only 14%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 13.3%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,073. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment takes 1.1 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bayern München average 13 points more possession, but the rating gap here is 657 points. Our control receipt only exists between near-equals — there it moved results; across a class gap we could not measure a separate style edge, so style scores 0 here. FC Schalke 04 are unbeaten in their last 14 league games at home (11 wins, 3 draws), a run going back to September 2025. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,570 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it, as it did for the season-long record. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the FC Schalke 04 vs Bayern München final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from FC Schalke 04 0–0 Bayern München. Explore more on the FC Schalke 04 and Bayern München team pages or the Bundesliga page.