Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga: stats, lineups & analysis
HighlightsBundesligaYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- -5′FSV Mainz 05, yellow card:Argument
- 19′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–1assist
- 31′FSV Mainz 05, yellow card:Foul
- 36′Hamburger SV, yellow card:Foul
- 41′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–2assist
- Half-time0 – 2
- 46′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 46′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 46′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 48′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–3assist
- 64′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 68′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 81′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 83′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–4assist
- 84′Hamburger SV, substitution:off
- 85′FSV Mainz 05, yellow card:Foul
- 88′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:R. Nakuzolaoff
- 88′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 88′FSV Mainz 05, substitution:off
- 90′FSV Mainz 05, goal:0–5assist
- Full-time0 – 5
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Key Stats
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Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
Match report
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 — the facts
FSV Mainz 05 won 5–0 away against Hamburger SV (half-time 0–2).
Hamburger SV met FSV Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 6 September 2026, 13:30 UTC at Volksparkstadion. Referee: Tobias Reichel.
Team pages: Hamburger SV · FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga
Key moments
- 19' Goal: Sheraldo Becker (assist: Kaishu Sano) — 0–1 · Watch Sheraldo Becker's goal video (19')
- 41' Goal: Phillipp Mwene (assist: Sheraldo Becker) — 0–2
- 48' Goal: Phillip Tietz (assist: Sheraldo Becker) — 0–3 · Watch Phillip Tietz's goal video (48')
- 83' Goal: Phillip Tietz (assist: Lee Jae-Sung) — 0–4 · Watch Phillip Tietz's goal video (83')
- 90' Goal: Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer (assist: Phillipp Mwene) — 0–5 · Watch Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Hamburger SV (3-4-2-1)
FSV Mainz 05 (3-5-2)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hamburger SV 29%, the draw 27%, FSV Mainz 05 44%. It finished Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05.
FSV Mainz 05's rating edge outweighs Hamburger SV's home ground — FSV Mainz 05 are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their cold finishing due to recover plus the early-season home fade on top give FSV Mainz 05 the lean. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why FSV Mainz 05 at 44%?
FSV Mainz 05 sit 145 points higher on our strength rating — 1731 to 1877. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,146 such games. FSV Mainz 05 sit -0.49 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,420 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Hamburger SV's column. Across 10,972 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.7% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. The 300 most similar past games finished 28–32–40.
Why only 44%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 44% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Hamburger SV at 29%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.8% of 17,128. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FSV Mainz 05 have gained 62 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 41.4% of 12,314 such games vs 40.7% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Bundesliga fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Sheraldo Becker's goal against Hamburger SV (19').
- Watch Phillip Tietz's goal against Hamburger SV (48').
- Watch Phillip Tietz's goal against Hamburger SV (83').
- Watch Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer's goal against Hamburger SV (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hamburger SV 0–5 FSV Mainz 05. Explore more on the Hamburger SV and FSV Mainz 05 team pages or the Bundesliga page.